Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 41.89%. A win for St Louis City had a probability of 33.08% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest St Louis City win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Los Angeles FC would win this match.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
33.08% ( 0.04) | 25.03% ( -0.01) | 41.89% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 56.93% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.58% ( 0.04) | 46.42% ( -0.04) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.29% ( 0.04) | 68.7% ( -0.04) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.11% ( 0.04) | 26.89% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.79% ( 0.06) | 62.21% ( -0.06) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.88% ( -0) | 22.12% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.5% | 55.5% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Los Angeles FC |
1-0 @ 7.81% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.74% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.25% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 33.08% | 1-1 @ 11.78% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.84% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.03% | 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.89% ( -0) 0-2 @ 6.77% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.47% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.4% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.69% 0-4 @ 1.28% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.11% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 41.89% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 79 | 49 | 30 | 74 |
2 | Columbus Crew | 34 | 19 | 9 | 6 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 66 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 34 | 18 | 5 | 11 | 58 | 48 | 10 | 59 |
4 | Orlando City | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 59 | 50 | 9 | 52 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 46 | 37 | 9 | 51 |
6 | New York City FCNY City | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 54 | 49 | 5 | 50 |
7 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 55 | 50 | 5 | 47 |
8 | CF MontrealMontreal | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 43 |
9 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 46 | 49 | -3 | 40 |
10 | DC United | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 52 | 70 | -18 | 40 |
11 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 62 | 55 | 7 | 37 |
12 | Toronto | 34 | 11 | 4 | 19 | 40 | 61 | -21 | 37 |
13 | Nashville SCNashville | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 38 | 54 | -16 | 36 |
14 | New England RevolutionNew England | 34 | 9 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 74 | -37 | 31 |
15 | Chicago Fire | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 30 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 63 | 43 | 20 | 64 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 34 | 19 | 7 | 8 | 69 | 50 | 19 | 64 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 59 |
4 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 51 | 35 | 16 | 57 |
5 | Houston DynamoHouston | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 47 | 39 | 8 | 54 |
6 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 34 | 15 | 7 | 12 | 58 | 49 | 9 | 52 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 34 | 15 | 5 | 14 | 61 | 60 | 1 | 50 |
8 | Portland TimbersPortland | 34 | 12 | 11 | 11 | 65 | 56 | 9 | 47 |
9 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 52 | 49 | 3 | 47 |
10 | Austin FCAustin | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 42 |
11 | Dallas | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 54 | 56 | -2 | 41 |
12 | St Louis City | 34 | 8 | 13 | 13 | 50 | 63 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 51 | 66 | -15 | 31 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 34 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 21 |