Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 45%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.16%) and 2-0 (6.28%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.