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DC United
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Audi Field
New York Red Bulls

DC United
1 - 4
NY Red Bulls

Bartlett (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Manoel (45+2'), Harper (52'), Morgan (57'), Burke (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Major League Soccer clash between DC United and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atlanta 2-3 DC United
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: NY Red Bulls 4-2 New England
Sunday, May 12 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: DC United 2-2 New York Red Bulls

Both these sides have been in good goal-scoring from this season and are coming off positive results over the weekend. Based on recent form, this looks like a very even match on paper, and we feel there will be nothing to separate the sides at the full-time whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a DC United win with a probability of 52.13%. A win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 24.46% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a DC United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-0 (8.55%). The likeliest New York Red Bulls win was 1-2 (6.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
52.13% (0.033999999999999 0.03) 23.41% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 24.46% (-0.043000000000003 -0.04)
Both teams to score 56.36% (-0.073 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.55% (-0.076000000000001 -0.08)44.44% (0.074000000000005 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.18% (-0.074999999999996 -0.07)66.82% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
DC United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.94% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)17.06% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.77% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)47.23% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.96% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)32.04% (0.075000000000003 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.49% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)68.51% (0.085000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    DC United 52.13%
    New York Red Bulls 24.46%
    Draw 23.41%
DC UnitedDrawNew York Red Bulls
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-0 @ 9.67% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.55% (0.019 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 5.04% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.54% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 2.23% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 3.95%
Total : 52.13%
1-1 @ 11% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.54% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.26% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-1 @ 6.22% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.54% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 24.46%

How you voted: DC United vs NY Red Bulls

DC United
41.7%
Draw
16.7%
New York Red Bulls
41.7%
12
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 12.30am
DC United
3-5
NY Red Bulls
Benteke (21', 36', 45+2' pen.)
Canouse (25'), Hines-Ike (55'), Benteke (83')
Fernandez (17', 44'), Harper (45+5'), Nealis (58'), Tolkin (90+3')
Duncan (64'), Nealis (66')
Aug 21, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-0
DC United
Tolkin (88')
Yearwood (44'), Reyes (78'), Duncan (82')

Durkin (36'), Williams (54')
Aug 7, 2022 12.30am
May 29, 2022 12am
Oct 28, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 42
DC United
1-0
NY Red Bulls
Paredes (9')
Moreno (36'), Najar (64')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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