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Austin FC
Major League Soccer
May 16, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Bold Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Austin
1 - 0
Houston

Driussi (87')
Cascante (31'), Gallagher (90'), Fodrey (90+5')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Dorsey (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Austin FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dallas 2-1 Austin
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Kansas 1-2 Houston
Sunday, May 12 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Austin FC 2-1 Houston Dynamo

Austin knows they have to quickly bounce back from defeat in their last match and they will feel this is a perfect opportunity for that against a side they have beaten in all the four times they have hosted this fixture. We expect a home win here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 43.98%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 31.19% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.11%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (7.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.69%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Austin FC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Austin FC.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
43.98% (-0.638 -0.64) 24.83% (-0.446 -0.45) 31.19% (1.083 1.08)
Both teams to score 56.85% (2.041 2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.8% (2.42 2.42)46.2% (-2.419 -2.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.51% (2.243 2.24)68.49% (-2.243 -2.24)
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.94% (0.724 0.72)21.06% (-0.723 -0.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.13% (1.118 1.12)53.87% (-1.117 -1.12)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.02% (1.944 1.94)27.98% (-1.944 -1.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.38% (2.411 2.41)63.62% (-2.411 -2.41)
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 43.98%
    Houston Dynamo 31.19%
    Draw 24.83%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 9.18% (-0.755 -0.76)
2-1 @ 9.11% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.15% (-0.42 -0.42)
3-1 @ 4.73% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 3.71% (-0.133 -0.13)
3-2 @ 3.01% (0.212 0.21)
4-1 @ 1.84% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 1.45% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.17% (0.107 0.11)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 43.98%
1-1 @ 11.69% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-0 @ 5.89% (-0.626 -0.63)
2-2 @ 5.8% (0.289 0.29)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.152 0.15)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.83%
0-1 @ 7.51% (-0.359 -0.36)
1-2 @ 7.45% (0.215 0.22)
0-2 @ 4.78% (0.035 0.04)
1-3 @ 3.16% (0.253 0.25)
2-3 @ 2.46% (0.246 0.25)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.121 0.12)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.129 0.13)
Other @ 2.8%
Total : 31.19%

How you voted: Austin vs Houston

Austin FC
87.5%
Draw
12.5%
Houston Dynamo
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Apr 21, 2024 1.30am
Houston
0-1
Austin

Kowalczyk (28'), Carrasquilla (37'), Artur (45+3'), Ferreira (77')
Rigoni (86')
Driussi (87'), Zardes (90+3')
Jun 25, 2023 2.30am
Austin
3-0
Houston
Finlay (22'), Zardes (32'), Cascante (50')
Gallagher (39'), Wolff (45'), Pereira (68'), Lima (75'), Cascante (77')

Sviatchenko (31'), Artur (45+5'), Herrera (77')
May 28, 2023 1.30am
Houston
2-1
Austin
Herrera (37'), Franco (87')
Quinones (67'), Micael (90+3')
Zardes (22')
Cascante (30')
Mar 19, 2023 12.30am
Jul 13, 2022 2am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
12.15am
Texans
@
Jets
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami34228479493074
2Columbus Crew34199672403266
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati341851158481059
4Orlando City34157125950952
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC34149114637951
6New York City FCNY City34148125449550
7New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls34111495550547
8CF MontrealMontreal341110134864-1643
9Atlanta UnitedAtlanta341010144649-340
10DC United341010145270-1840
11Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia34910156255737
12Toronto34114194061-2137
13Nashville SCNashville3499163854-1636
14New England RevolutionNew England3494213774-3731
15Chicago Fire3479184062-2230

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles FCLos Angeles34197863432064
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy34197869501964
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake341611765481759
4Seattle SoundersSeattle34169951351657
5Houston DynamoHouston34159104739854
6Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd34157125849952
7Colorado RapidsColorado34155146160150
8Portland TimbersPortland341211116556947
9Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver34138135249347
10Austin FCAustin34119143948-942
11Dallas34118155456-241
12St Louis City34813135063-1337
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas3487195166-1531
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes3463254178-3721


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