La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 35

May 11, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Estadio de la Ceramica

Villarreal
3 - 2
Sevilla

Sorloth (30', 90+7'), Mosquera (84')
Cuenca (63'), Reina (76'), Ocampos (78'), Bailly (88')

FT(HT: 1-2)

En-Nesyri (26' pen., 44')
Kouassi (17'), Ocampos (70'), Salas (88'), Ramos (90+7'), Agoume (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Villarreal and Sevilla, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Villarreal

All competitions

Last Game: Celta Vigo 3-2 Villarreal
Sunday, May 5 at 3.15pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sevilla

All competitions

Last Game: Sevilla 3-0 Granada
Sunday, May 5 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Villarreal 1-1 Sevilla

As mentioned, three of the last four meetings between these two sides in Spain's top flight have finished all square, and we are expecting another draw here. There is not an awful lot between the teams when it comes to quality, and neither would be too disappointed with a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Sevilla had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (7.77%). The likeliest Sevilla win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.

Result
Villarreal	Draw	Sevilla
47.11% ( -0.03)	24.49% ( -0.06)	28.39% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 56.33% (

0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.87% (

0.3)

46.12% (

-0.3)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.57% (

0.28)

68.42% (

-0.28)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

0.11)

19.67% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

0.18)

51.65% (

-0.18)

Sevilla Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.13% (

0.21)

29.87% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.03% (

0.26)

65.96% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Villarreal 47.11%

Sevilla 28.39%

Draw 24.49%

Villarreal	Draw	Sevilla
1-0 @ 9.55% ( -0.09) 2-1 @ 9.39% 2-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.21% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.07% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.02) Other @ 3% Total : 47.11%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 5.87% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.49%	0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 6.97% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.81% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 28.39%