Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 16, 2024 at 1am UK
Arena Pantanal
Cuiaba1 - 1Deportivo Garcilaso
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Cuiaba and Deportivo Garcilaso.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Metropolitanos
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Thursday, May 9 at 1am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Deportivo Garcilaso 0-2 Lanus
Friday, May 10 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, May 10 at 3am in Copa Sudamericana
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 75.02%. A draw had a probability of 15.5% and a win for Deportivo Garcilaso had a probability of 9.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.84%) and 1-0 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.31%), while for a Deportivo Garcilaso win it was 0-1 (2.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cuiaba | Draw | Deportivo Garcilaso |
75.02% ( -0.91) | 15.5% ( 0.55) | 9.48% ( 0.37) |
Both teams to score 49.59% ( -0.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.66% ( -1.51) | 36.33% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.54% ( -1.67) | 58.46% ( 1.67) |
Cuiaba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.82% ( -0.55) | 8.18% ( 0.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.35% ( -1.39) | 28.65% ( 1.39) |
Deportivo Garcilaso Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
54% ( -0.29) | 46% ( 0.29) |