Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Universitario win with a probability of 52.11%. A draw had a probability of 25.7% and a win for Botafogo had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for a Universitario win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%), while for a Botafogo win it was 0-1 (7.86%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
-0.34) 
0.05) 
