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Championship | Gameweek 39
Mar 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Stoke logo

Hull City
0 - 2
Stoke

FT(HT: 0-0)
Laurent (69'), Hoever (90+3')
McNally (18'), Rose (28'), Laurent (33'), Stevens (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Hull City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 2-2 Leicester
Saturday, March 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-3 Norwich
Saturday, March 16 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Hull City 3-1 Stoke City

Only one of the last five meetings between Hull and Stoke have seen both teams score – the aforementioned reverse fixture – but we can see these two sides having joy in the final third on Good Friday. Having said that, playoff hopefuls Hull will be regarded as favourites to come out on top and should ultimately have enough quality in the final third to claim maximum points, ending their four-game winless home run in the process. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawStoke City
45.76%25.48%28.76% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 53.36%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.86%50.15% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.89%72.11% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.1%21.9% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.84%55.17% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.32% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)31.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.91% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)68.09%
Score Analysis
    Hull City 45.75%
    Stoke City 28.76%
    Draw 25.48%
Hull CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.53%
2-1 @ 9.2%
2-0 @ 8%
3-1 @ 4.66%
3-0 @ 4.05%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.77%
4-0 @ 1.54%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 45.75%
1-1 @ 12.11%
0-0 @ 6.94%
2-2 @ 5.29%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.48%
0-1 @ 7.98%
1-2 @ 6.96%
0-2 @ 4.58% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.67%
2-3 @ 2.03%
0-3 @ 1.76%
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 28.76%

How you voted: Hull City vs Stoke

Hull City
67.8%
Draw
20.3%
Stoke City
11.9%
59
Head to Head
Sep 24, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 8
Stoke
1-3
Hull City
Vidigal (77')
Wilmot (42'), Laurent (75')
Connolly (30'), Traore (32'), Slater (73')
Jones (38'), Michael Seri (45+4'), Greaves (55')
Feb 11, 2023 3pm
Sep 13, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 10
Hull City
0-3
Stoke
Baker (25', 64'), Wilmot (45')
Jan 16, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 27
Hull City
0-2
Stoke

Docherty (17'), Bernard (64'), Smallwood (70')
Brown (22'), Ince (50')
Doughty (81')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 9
Stoke
2-0
Hull City
Vrancic (35'), Powell (58')
Clucas (87'), Surridge (90')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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