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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 45.76%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.76% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
45.76% | 25.48% | 28.76% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 53.36% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.86% | 50.15% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.89% | 72.11% ( -0) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.1% | 21.9% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.84% | 55.17% ( -0) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.32% ( -0) | 31.68% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.91% ( -0) | 68.09% |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Stoke City |
1-0 @ 10.53% 2-1 @ 9.2% 2-0 @ 8% 3-1 @ 4.66% 3-0 @ 4.05% 3-2 @ 2.68% 4-1 @ 1.77% 4-0 @ 1.54% 4-2 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.33% Total : 45.75% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.94% 2-2 @ 5.29% 3-3 @ 1.03% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.48% | 0-1 @ 7.98% 1-2 @ 6.96% 0-2 @ 4.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.03% 0-3 @ 1.76% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.76% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 15 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 11 | 14 | 31 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 31 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 24 | 9 | 15 | 29 |
4 | Burnley | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 18 | 6 | 12 | 27 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 16 | 9 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Watford | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 25 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 17 | 6 | 24 |
8 | Millwall | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 23 |
9 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 19 | 17 | 2 | 22 |
10 | Bristol City | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 20 | 19 | 1 | 22 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 19 |
12 | Derby CountyDerby | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 19 |
13 | Stoke CityStoke | 15 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 19 | -1 | 19 |
14 | Norwich CityNorwich | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 22 | 1 | 18 |
15 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 17 | 18 | -1 | 17 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 16 |
18 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 16 |
19 | Hull City | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 15 |
20 | Preston North EndPreston | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 23 | -8 | 15 |
21 | Luton TownLuton | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 14 | 23 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Portsmouth | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
24 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 12 | 25 | -13 | 10 |
> Championship Full Table |