Champions League | Group Stage
Dec 13, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Atletico2 - 0Lazio
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 Almeria
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, December 10 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Saturday, December 9 at 2pm in Serie A
Saturday, December 9 at 2pm in Serie A
We said: Atletico Madrid 2-1 Lazio
A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched teams is set to take place on Wednesday, just like the reverse fixture three months ago, although Atletico will be regarded as the favourites to win on home soil. Considering Atletico's solid home form and Lazio's recent troubles on the road, we believe that Simeone's men will do enough to grind out a slender win in front of their own fans and secure top spot in Group E. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 55.41%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Lazio had a probability of 21.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.85%) and 2-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Lazio win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Lazio |
55.41% ( -0.54) | 23.04% ( 0.6) | 21.55% ( -0.07) |
Both teams to score 53.93% ( -2.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.06% ( -2.75) | 45.94% ( 2.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.75% ( -2.66) | 68.25% ( 2.65) |
Atletico Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.57% ( -1.15) | 16.43% ( 1.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.89% ( -2.11) | 46.1% ( 2.11) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.53% ( -1.61) | 35.47% ( 1.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.76% ( -1.71) | 72.23% ( 1.7) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Madrid 55.4%
Lazio 21.55%
Draw 23.03%
Atletico Madrid | Draw | Lazio |
1-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.5% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 5.93% ( -0.26) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.28) 4-1 @ 2.68% ( -0.23) 4-0 @ 2.58% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.19) 5-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.13) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.25% Total : 55.4% | 1-1 @ 10.9% ( 0.38) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.25) 3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.15) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.03% | 0-1 @ 6.04% ( 0.44) 1-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 1.76% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.55% |
How you voted: Atletico vs Lazio
Atletico Madrid
82.4%Draw
13.4%Lazio
4.2%142
Head to Head
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-14 15:01:09
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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