Om hun voortgang naar de knock-outfasen van de Champions League in de eerste plaats te bevestigen, reist Lille woensdag naar Wolfsburg voor de laatste speeldag in Groep G.
De bezoekers staan één punt duidelijk bovenaan de ranglijst voorafgaand aan hun reis naar Wolfsburg, die onderaan de sectie staan maar nog steeds kans hebben op een top-two finish.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lille win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 30.74% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 2-1 (7.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lille would win this match.