Real Sociedad speelt donderdagavond gastheer voor PSV Eindhoven, wetende dat alleen de overwinning zal slagen als ze door willen gaan naar de knock-outfasen van de Europa League.
Ondertussen heeft PSV, die niet langer de top van groep B kan afmaken, in Spanje slechts een punt nodig om hun plaats te boeken in de laatste 32 van de competitie.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 37.23%. A win for PSV Eindhoven had a probability of 33.49% and a draw had a probability of 29.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest PSV Eindhoven win was 0-1 (11.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Real Sociedad would win this match.