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ItalianoMonaco gaat donderdagavond naar hun Group B-wedstrijd met Real Sociedad, wetende dat de overwinning hun plaats in de knock-outfasen van de Europa League zal veiligstellen.
Terwijl Sociedad nog geen van hun vier groepswedstrijden verliest, kan een nederlaag op donderdag ervoor zorgen dat ze alle drie de punten op speeldag zes nodig hebben.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 36.83%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.
