Boavista zal zaterdag een einde maken aan een winstloze run van acht wedstrijden, wanneer ze het opnemen tegen de nieuw gepromoveerde Arouca in de Portugese topvlucht.
Door een duik in vorm zijn de bezoekers gedaald naar de 10e plek in de Primeira Liga tafel, terwijl hun bezoekers slechts één punt slechter af zitten op de 12e plaats.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 55.08%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Boavista had a probability of 20.49%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.59%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.57%), while for a Boavista win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Arouca would win this match.