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Chapecoense
Brasileiro | Gameweek 21
Sep 18, 2021 at 9pm UK
Arena Conda
Palmeiras

Chapecoense
0 - 2
Palmeiras


Leite (41'), Silva (64')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Veiga (10'), Adriano (28')
de Paula (4'), Melo (59')

Preview: Chapecoense vs. Palmeiras - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Chapecoense and Palmeiras, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chapecoense host Palmeiras on Saturday, fresh off their first win of the season, after they managed to beat Bragantino last time out.

The visitors come into the contest off the back of a disappointing 3-1 defeat at home to Flamengo, and they will be searching for a much-needed three points to stay in the fight for top spot.


Match preview

Palmeiras coach Abel Ferreira reacts on May 23, 2021© Reuters

Chapecoense enter the fixture with an air of confidence after the victory against Bragantino and will aim to make it two wins in two games against Palmeiras.

Against Bragantino, they went into half time 1-0 down but equalised in the 78th minute, and then Chapecoense dramatically won the game in the fifth minute of stoppage time, thanks to Anselmo's fine header.

Despite that victory, Saturday's hosts are still rooted to the foot of the table, with only 10 points to their name and they are yet to win at home this season.

After winning promotion from the second tier last campaign, they will need to build on their first victory of the season if they are to have any chance of remaining in the top flight, and the home side will be boosted by their last five games, where they have lost only once, albeit collecting three draws in that period.

Chapecoense head into the weekend 12 points away from safety and for that gap to close they need to improve their home form that has yielded only five goals in nine games for the home side, while they have conceded 15 times across their home league fixtures.

Palmeiras' Danilo celebrates scoring their second goal on June 30, 2021© Reuters

Although Palmeiras currently sit second in the table, their recent form has been far from encouraging, winning only once in their last six league outings.

Their last fixture ended disappointingly despite taking the lead through Wesley, they conceded three goals to lose to a title rival in the form of Flamengo, who now sit a point behind Palmeiras with two games in hand.

The visitors' season started positively and at the start of August, they sat top of the standings - a point clear of second place - after only losing twice in their opening 14 fixtures.

Unfortunately for Palmeiras, they have now lost four times in their last five league games and if they have title aspirations, results need to improve quickly, starting with this weekend's encounter.

They will be boosted by the fact that they have emerged victorious in their last four games against Saturday's opponents, which included a 3-1 win back in June.

Chapecoense Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • W

Palmeiras Brasileiro form:
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L

Palmeiras form (all competitions):
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L



Team News

Palmeiras team huddle before the match on June 28, 2021© Reuters

Chapecoense have some injury absentees heading into the Palmeiras clash, as Felipe Santana, Vagner and Tiepo are all out injured.

Joilson, Ronei and Ignacio are all getting closer to a return, but they will not feature on Saturday.

An accumulation of yellow cards means the hosts will be without the scorer of the winner in their previous game, as Anselmo is suspended.

Palmeiras will be without left-back Jorge who is still out injured, therefore Joaquin Piquerez will continue in his place.

Ze Rafael was sent off late on against Flamengo, which means Patrick de Paula is likely to come into midfield for a starting berth.

Rony will lead the line and will be desperate to add to the one league goal he has managed this term.

Chapecoense possible starting lineup:
Keiller; Ribeiro, Kadu, Jordan, Busanello; Santos, Leite, Denner; Bruno, Mike, Perotti

Palmeiras possible starting lineup:
Weverton; Rocha, Luan, Gomez, Piquerez; De Paula, Danilo, Veiga; Dudu, Wesley, Rony


SM words green background

We say: Chapecoense 1-1 Palmeiras

After picking up their first win of the season last time out, Chapecoense will be confident of getting something from this game, although winning against the side in second place may prove too tall of a task.

Palmeiras will want to win this one to get their title charge back on track, but they may have to settle for a point.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 44.5%. A win for Chapecoense had a probability of 27.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest Chapecoense win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Chapecoense vs Palmeiras

Chapecoense
0.0%
Draw
44.4%
Palmeiras
55.6%
9
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Palmeiras' Wesley Ribeiro Silva celebrates scoring their third goal on June 6, 2021
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rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR00000000
2Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO00000000
3Atletico Mineiro00000000
4Bahia00000000
5Botafogo00000000
6BragantinoBragantino00000000
7Corinthians00000000
8CriciumaCriciuma00000000
9Cruzeiro00000000
10Cuiaba00000000
11FlamengoFlamengo00000000
12Fluminense00000000
13FortalezaFortaleza00000000
14Gremio00000000
15InternacionalInternacional00000000
16JuventudeJuventude00000000
17PalmeirasPalmeiras00000000
18Sao Paulo00000000
19Vasco da GamaVasco00000000
20Vitoria00000000


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