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West Brom logo
Premier League | Gameweek 5
Oct 19, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
The Hawthorns
Burnley logo

West Brom
0 - 0
Burnley


Livermore (53'), Phillips (90+2')
FT

Taylor (37'), Westwood (77')

Preview: West Bromwich Albion vs. Burnley - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's Premier League clash between West Bromwich Albion and Burnley, including team news and predicted lineups.

Both West Bromwich Albion and Burnley will be desperate to pick up a positive result when they lock horns at the Hawthorns in the Premier League on Monday evening.

West Brom are 17th in the table with just a single point from their four matches, while Burnley have lost all three of their league games this term and currently occupy 18th.


Match preview

West Bromwich Albion manager Slaven Bilic pictured in October 2020© Reuters

One point from four matches represents a poor start to the season for West Brom, who suffered a 2-0 defeat at Southampton in their last encounter before the international break.

The Baggies did claim a point against Chelsea at the end of September but have also lost to Leicester City and Everton this term and are currently just outside the relegation zone in England's top flight.

Slaven Bilic's side will view their next three games as hugely important, starting with Burnley on Monday before facing Brighton & Hove Albion and Fulham before hosting Tottenham Hotspur on November 7.

West Brom suffered a 2-1 defeat to Burnley when the two teams last locked horns in the Premier League during the 2017-18 campaign, but the Baggies have won three of their last six encounters, losing just once.

The club's supporters will not be panicking at this stage of the season, but the fact that the promoted side have already conceded a league-high 13 goals will be a concern.

Burnley manager Sean Dyche pictured during the EFL Cup clash with Millwall on September 23, 2020© Reuters

Burnley, meanwhile, have also had a poor start to the campaign, losing each of their three Premier League matches to Leicester, Southampton and Newcastle United to sit 18th in the table.

The Clarets will face Tottenham and Chelsea in their two matches after this one, meaning that it is vitally important for the team to pick up a positive result at the Hawthorns.

Burnley have finished 16th, seventh, 15th and 10th in the Premier League since being promoted at the end of the 2015-16 campaign, but there is a fear that they could be in for a serious battle to stay in the league this term.

Sean Dyche's team were not particularly active during the summer transfer window, while they have had a number of injury problems in the early stages of the campaign.

There will again be huge pressure on Chris Wood to score the goals this season, but the club managed to retain the services of key defender James Tarkowski, who was linked with West Ham United over the summer.

West Bromwich Albion Premier League form: LLDL
West Bromwich Albion form (all competitions): LWLLDL

Burnley Premier League form: WWW
Burnley form (all competitions): WLWLLL


Team News

Burnley players celebrate Jay Rodriguez's equalising goal against Liverpool on July 11, 2020© Reuters

West Brom will again be without the services of Hal Robson-Kanu as the Wales international recovers from wrist surgery, while Callum Robinson could be absent due to coronavirus guidelines.

The Baggies only signed Karlan Grant from from Huddersfield Town on Thursday, but the 23-year-old could come straight into the starting XI for his debut here.

Kieran Gibbs is also available after a suspension, while Branislav Ivanovic and Ahmed Hegazi are both fit, handing Bilic plenty of options in a defensive area.

As for Burnley, Jay Rodriguez is expected to return after missing three games with an ankle issue, while Johann Berg Gudmundsson should be available despite picking up a slight groin issue on international duty.

Ben Mee, Matthew Lowton and Jack Cork remain sidelined, but Kevin Long should be available after a eye problem and is expected to continue at the heart of the defence alongside Tarkowski.

Dwight McNeil and Robbie Brady could be handed starts in the wide positions, while fit-again Rodriguez is likely to get the nod over Ashley Barnes alongside Wood as part of a front two.

West Bromwich Albion possible starting lineup:
Johnstone; O'Shea, Bartley, Ajayi, Gibbs; Livermore, Sawyers, Gallagher; Pereira, Grant, Diangana

Burnley possible starting lineup:
Pope; Bardsley, Tarkowski, Long, Taylor; Brady, Brownhill, Westwood, McNeil; Wood, Rodriguez


SM words green background

We say: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Burnley

There has been some incredibly high-scoring games in the Premier League this season, but we are not expecting this match to follow suit. Both managers will be desperate not to lose, which could create a cagey affair, and we are backing a low-scoring draw at the Hawthorns.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 51.79%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 23.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.62%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.


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Burnley boss Sean Dyche on July 5, 2020
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1Leicester CityLeicester443041086394794
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4Southampton442591085612484
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4420121267442372
6Norwich CityNorwich442191477611672
7Hull City441912136556969
8Coventry CityCoventry4317121468551363
9Middlesbrough44189176460463
10Preston North EndPreston44189175661-563
11Cardiff CityCardiff44195205061-1162
12Bristol City441611175147459
13Sunderland44168205251156
14Swansea CitySwansea441511185762-556
15Watford441217155958153
16Millwall441411194355-1253
17Stoke CityStoke441311204460-1650
18Queens Park RangersQPR441311204157-1650
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn441310215874-1649
20Plymouth ArgylePlymouth441212205869-1148
21Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds44138233968-2947
22Birmingham CityBirmingham441210224864-1646
23Huddersfield TownHuddersfield44917184774-2744
RRotherham UnitedRotherham44412283285-5324


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