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Sporting Lisbon
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 28
Apr 21, 2021 at 9.15pm UK
 
Belenenses

Sporting Lisbon
2 - 2
Belenenses

Coates (83'), Cabral (90+6' pen.)
Tomas (4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cassierra (13', 54')
Henrique (41'), Cardoso (81'), Silva (90+1')

Preview: Sporting Lisbon vs. Belenenses - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Sporting Lisbon and Belenenses, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sporting Lisbon welcome Belenenses to the Estadio Jose Alvalade on Wednesday, as they aim to strengthen their position at the top of the Primeira Liga table.

The league leaders made a crucial return to winning ways last time out, as they defeated strugglers Farense 1-0, while Belenenses continued their rise up the table with a 2-0 victory over Maritimo.


Match preview

Sporting Lisbon manager Ruben Amorim pictured in October 2020© Reuters

Sporting Lisbon picked up an important victory on Friday, as Pedro Goncalves fired them to a 1-0 win away at Farense.

That followed a slightly concerning week for Ruben Amorim's men, as they dropped points with two consecutive draws to Moreirense and Famalicao.

Despite that, Os Leoes do sit six points clear at the top of the Portuguese top flight, having gone unbeaten in the league so far this season, although Porto do remain in hot pursuit in second place.

Their position at the summit of the table is largely down to their solid defensive record, with no other side in the top flight conceding as few as the 13 goals that Amorim's men have shipped in 27 league matches.

Meanwhile, only second-placed Porto top their tally of 49 goals at the other end of the pitch, showing that the side from Portugal's capital have built a balanced side this season.

As we approach the end of the season, Os Verde e Brancos will firmly have their sights set on securing their first title since 2002, and they will know that five wins out of their last seven matches will all but seal the title, even if Porto manage to win all their remaining matches.

They will look to tick off one of those victories on Wednesday, as they welcome a revitalised Belenenses side to the Estadio Jose Alvalade.

Belenenses head coach Petit pictured in July 2020© Reuters

The visitors have hugely boosted their survival hopes in recent weeks, picking up eight points from their last five matches to lift themselves up to 12th spot.

Petit's side returned to winning ways last time out, as goals from Miguel Cardoso and Francisco Teixeira fired them to a 2-0 victory over strugglers Maritimo.

That followed an impressive 1-1 draw away at fourth-placed Braga, as Mateo Cassierra equalised on the hour mark for O Belem after Nicolas Gaitan's opener for Braga in the first half.

As a result of their upturn in form, Petit's side now sit six points ahead of Maritimo in the relegation playoff place, and eight points above the automatic drop zone, having previously been involved in a heated battle for survival.

With plenty of points left to play for in a tight bottom half of the division, O Belem will be wary of taking their foot off the gas, and Petit will want to ensure that they continue to pick up points until the end of the campaign.

Wednesday's game presents a very tough obstacle though, as they travel to take on the league leaders who are yet to lose in league action this season.

Sporting Lisbon Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W

Belenenses Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021© Reuters

Sporting Lisbon could remain without centre-back Zouhair Feddal, who missed the Farense victory through injury.

However, they did welcome young defender Goncalo Inacio back from injury last time out to strengthen the back line.

Amorim has started to change the shape of his side in recent weeks, most recently opting to deeply Paulinho and Pedro Goncalves as a front two.

In that game, Pedro Goncalves found the net to take his tally to 17 league goals in his first season in Lisbon, while the former Famalicao attacker has also set up four goals for his teammates.

He may opt to revert to the more usual front three for Wednesday's game, as they take on a Belenenses outfit who are known to be built on a defence which is particularly difficult to break down.

Petit could look to deploy the same side that picked up the 2-0 victory over Maritimo last time out.

However, Sphephelo Sithole will be pushing for a return to the starting side, after he served a suspension in that game.

Goncalo Silva, Henrique and Tomas Ribeiro will look to continue their strong defensive form, as they take on one of the league's best attacking sides.

Sporting Lisbon possible starting lineup:
Adan; Inacio, Coates, Reis; Porro, Palhinha, Mario, Mendes; Goncalves, Paulinho, Santos

Belenenses possible starting lineup:
Kritsyuk; Esgaio, Ribeiro, Henrique, Silva, Lima; Varela, Taira, Sousa, Cardoso; Cassierra


SM words green background

We say: Sporting Lisbon 1-0 Belenenses

While Belenenses will certainly prove a tough test for the league leaders, we see Sporting Lisbon coming out of Wednesday's game with a narrow victory to maintain their lead at the top of the table.

The visitors have definitely shown signs of improvement recently, but we would expect them to fall just short to a strong Sporting Lisbon side at the Estadio Jose Alvalade.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Belenenses had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.04%) and 3-0 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Belenenses win it was 0-1 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Sporting Lisbon vs Belenenses

Sporting Lisbon
79.2%
Draw
12.5%
Belenenses
8.3%
24
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Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
6AroucaArouca301351251401144
7MoreirenseMoreirense30127113034-443
8FamalicaoFamalicao30812103338-536
9Casa Pia3088143043-1332
10SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
12Gil Vicente3087153748-1131
13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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