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Sevilla logo
La Liga | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2021 at 6.30pm UK
Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán
Valencia logo

Sevilla
3 - 1
Valencia

Papu (3'), Lato (15' og.), Mir (22')
Lamela (17'), Montiel (30'), Mir (35'), Jordan (51'), Gudelj (82')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Duro (31')
Lato (17'), Alderete (17'), Diakhaby (68')

Preview: Sevilla vs. Valencia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's La Liga clash between Sevilla and Valencia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Sevilla will welcome Valencia to The Ramon Sanchez Pizjuan Stadium on Wednesday, in a clash between sides in the top six of the La Liga table.

The hosts sit in sixth spot with eight points from their opening four games, while their visitors occupy third place and were handed their first defeat of the season last time out.


Match preview

Sevilla head coach Julen Lopetegui pictured on April 4, 2021© Reuters

After an impressive showing last season, eventually finishing in fourth place, two points behind Barcelona, after remaining in a title race for the majority of the campaign, Sevilla kicked off the new La Liga term with back-to-back victories over Rayo Vallecano and Getafe.

Julen Lopetegui's side kept clean sheets in both of those wins, while scoring three in the opener, largely thanks to an Erik Lamela brace off the bench, before he was the hero in the latter as he netted a 93rd-minute winner to seal a 1-0 victory.

Los Rojiblancos then drew 1-1 with Getafe, before playing out the same scoreline at home to Austrian champions Red Bull Salzburg in the Champions League group stage, as each side netted a penalty in the first half while the visitors squandered two further opportunities from the spot.

Lopetegui's men now come into Wednesday's game on the back of their third straight draw, as they played out a goalless stalemate away at Real Sociedad on Sunday, with Mikel Oyarzabal failing to convert a penalty for the hosts, preserving their unbeaten record and seeing them remain in the top six.

In their bid to continue their commendable start, they meet a Valencia side who have enjoyed a strong run of form of their own.

Valencia coach Jose Bordalas on September 19, 2021© Reuters

Wednesday's visitors had a disappointing campaign last time around, eventually finishing 13th, but they have started the new term in impressive fashion.

Jose Bordalas's side began with a 1-0 victory over Getafe, before earning a creditable 1-1 draw away at Granada.

Los Murcielagos then recorded back-to-back dominant wins, firstly defeating Alaves 3-0 before Maxi Gomez, Goncalo Guedes and Omar Alderete got on the scoresheet alongside an Aridane Hernandez own goal in a 4-1 thrashing of Osasuna.

Despite looking set to defeat title-chasing Real Madrid 1-0 last time out, thanks to Hugo Duro's goal, Bordalas's men now come into Wednesday's game on the back of their first defeat of the season, as Vinicius Junior hit an 86th-minute equaliser and Karim Benzema snatched all three points for Los Blancos with a winner two minutes later.

They will look to quickly bounce back from that late disappointment with what would be an impressive result on their travels.

Sevilla La Liga form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D

Sevilla form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D

Valencia La Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L



Team News

Sevilla's Lucas Ocampos celebrates with Ivan Rakitic on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Sevilla come into the game with a clean bill of health, and Lopetegui is unlikely to make wholesale changes.

Thomas Delaney came into the midfield trio in place of Joan Jordan last time out, and they should continue to battle for the final spot, with Ivan Rakitic and Fernando all but cementing themselves in the starting XI.

Marcos Acuna, Diego Carlos, Jules Kounde and Jesus Navas form an established back four, while Youssef En-Nesyri will continue to lead the line, leaving the spots on the flanks as some of the only places up for grabs.

Following his strong start after joining from Tottenham Hotspur in the summer, Erik Lamela earned a starting spot last time out, with Alejandro Gomez operating on the other wing, while the likes of Suso and Lucas Ocampos will be pushing to break into the starting XI.

Valencia will remain without winger Denis Cheryshev and defender Cristiano Piccini, after the pair missed Sunday's clash with Real Madrid.

Goncalo Guedes and Maxi Gomez will continue to lead the line, while Carlos Soler and Hugo Duro offer plenty of threat from the wings.

Gabriel and Omar Alderete should continue to partner up at the heart of a back four, with Los Murcielagos having only conceded four goals in five league games.

Sevilla possible starting lineup:
Bono; Navas, Kounde, Carlos, Acuna; Jordan, Fernando, Rakitic; Gomez, En-Nesyri, Ocampos

Valencia possible starting lineup:
Mamardashvili; Correia, Gabriel, Alderete, Foulquier; Soler, Wass, Guillamon, Duro; Guedes, Gomez


SM words green background

We say: Sevilla 1-1 Valencia

Both sides boast quality all over the pitch and have enjoyed strong starts to the season, and we do not see either team outclassing the other on Wednesday.

Having only conceded a combined tally of five goals in the league so far, we do not expect this to be an overly open affair, and instead opt for a low-scoring draw.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 13.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.28%) and 2-1 (9.33%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.29%), while for a Valencia win it was 0-1 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Sevilla vs Valencia

Sevilla
48.1%
Draw
33.1%
Valencia
18.8%
154
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Madrid32256170224881
2Barcelona32217464372770
3GironaGirona32215667402768
4Atletico MadridAtletico32194959382161
5Athletic Bilbao321610652302258
6Real Sociedad321312746341251
7Real BetisBetis32121284038248
8Valencia32138113534147
9Villarreal32119125155-442
10Getafe32913103844-640
11Osasuna32116153746-939
12Sevilla32910134145-437
13Las PalmasLas Palmas32107153039-937
14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
18CadizCadiz32413152245-2325
19Granada3239203361-2818
20Almeria32111203164-3314


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