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Real Valladolid logo
La Liga | Gameweek 19
Jan 19, 2021 at 6pm UK
Jose Zorrilla
Elche

Real Valladolid
2 - 2
Elche

Michel (71'), Fernandez (89')
Fede (39')
Mesa (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Josan (9', 43')
Josema (51'), Cifu (85'), Milla (90+4')

Preview: Real Valladolid vs. Elche - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's La Liga clash between Real Valladolid and Elche, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Real Valladolid host Elche on Tuesday night at the Estadio Jose Zorrilla in a relegation six-pointer that could go on to define the seasons of both these sides.

Elche have not won a La Liga game since late October, while Valladolid were unlucky not to come away from their clash against Valencia without more to show for it.


Match preview

Elche manager Jorge Almiron pictured while in charge of San Lorenzo in May 2019© Reuters

With new managerial appointments at fellow strugglers Huesca and Alaves, both Jorge Almiron and Sergio must be nervously looking over their shoulder as they approach this highly-significant game.

It was Almiron's predecessor at Elche, Pacheta, who was awarded the Huesca job and it would be particularly poetic if the new coach were to leapfrog his old side at some point during the coming weeks.

Still, Almiron recently stated that he is not concerned with the pressure he is under, stressing the importance of new recruits instead.

Of course, currently 18th in the league, the fact of the matter is that Elche are both rudderless and toothless at the moment and it is up to Almiron to find a way to propel his side out of harm's way.

Fortunately for the Argentine boss, his side have only lost one of their last eight games against Real Valladolid in all competitions, with the most recent encounter ending 2-1 to Los Franjiverdes.

If Elche are to come away from their trip to the northwest with three points, Almiron may well expect big things from Lucas Boye, who has popped up with a number of big goals for his side this season.

Real Valladolid manager Sergio Gonzalez pictured on January 2020© Reuters

In comparison to fellow strugglers Elche, Valladolid have been far more consistent in recent weeks. Sergio's men picked up four valuable points against Cadiz and Getafe before almost stealing a point from Valencia in the dying moments of the game last time out.

Although Valladolid have had a tough time of it this season, Sergio's side appear to be exhibiting all the resilience that Elche currently lack, and that is why two points currently separate the two sides.

Unlike Elche, who crashed out of the Copa del Rey at the weekend against Rayo Vallecano, Valladolid progressed to the latter stages of the competition after seeing off Pena Deportiva away from home.

With the score tied at 1-1 after 90 minutes, Los Pucelanos left it late but, after a flurry of activity, the game eventually ended 4-1 to Valladolid.

Regardless of the opposition, Sergio will hope that his side can bring that goal-scoring prowess into this fixture.

Real Valladolid La Liga form: WDLDWL
Real Valladolid form (all competitions): LDWWLW

Elche La Liga form: LLDDLL
Elche form (all competitions): DDLWLL


Team News

Elche's Fidel celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates against Real Madrid on December 30, 2020© Reuters

After tough fixtures in the cup at the weekend, both these sides may be feeling a bit worse for wear coming into this clash.

Almiron will be without Ivan Marcone, who is suspended for this game, while Fidel and Tete Morente are also both unavailable due to injury.

An outbreak of COVID-19 at the Valladolid camp means Jota, Waldo Rubio and Jawad El Yamiq will all be unavailable for selection.

Sergio will also be without Raul Garcia, due to a knee injury, and Marcos de Sousa, Saidy Janko and Kiko Olivas, who are all also injured.

On-loan centre-back Bruno Gonzalez is also suspended for this tie.

Real Valladolid possible starting lineup:
Masip; L Perez, Fernandez, Sanchez, Nacho; K Perez, Fede, Mesa; Filipe, Weissman, Villa

Elche possible starting lineup:
Badia; Barragan, Gonzalo, Gonzalez, Josema; Josan Fernandez, Mfulu, Guti; Nino, Boye, Rigoni


SM words green background

We say: Real Valladolid 1-0 Elche

These two sides are not exactly setting the league alight, so do not expect fireworks. This will be a fiercely contended fixture that will likely be decided by a single goal. We think Valladolid can outmuscle the visitors at the Estadio Jose Zorrilla.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elche win with a probability of 38.88%. A win for Real Valladolid had a probability of 31.46% and a draw had a probability of 29.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Elche win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.7%) and 1-2 (7.61%). The likeliest Real Valladolid win was 1-0 (11.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.


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Valencia players celebrate Carlos Soler's goal against Real Madrid on November 8, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leganes361712747212663
2EibarEibar361871159401961
3Real ValladolidValladolid361871144311361
4Espanyol361514752371559
5ElcheElche36169113833557
6Real Oviedo361413945321355
7Sporting GijonSporting Gijon361510114335855
8Racing de SantanderRacing36159125550554
9Racing Club de FerrolRacing de Ferrol361412104342154
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11Levante36121684240252
12TenerifeTenerife361210143236-446
13Real ZaragozaZaragoza361112133534145
14Huesca36915123127442
15Eldense361012144151-1042
16CartagenaCartagena36119163345-1242
17MirandesMirandes361011154150-941
18AlcorconAlcorcon361010162746-1940
19Albacete36912154150-939
20Amorebieta36910173245-1337
21FC AndorraFC Andorra3699182843-1536
22Villarreal II3699183352-1936


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