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[monks data]
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 33
Sep 20, 2021 at 12.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Los Angeles FC

Portland
2 - 1
Los Angeles

Asprilla (21'), Fochive (68')
Mabiala (24'), Blanco (26'), Bravo (42'), Valeri (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Arango (27' pen.)

Preview: Portland Timbers vs. Los Angeles FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Los Angeles FC will go in search of a fourth consecutive MLS win when they travel to Portland Timbers on Sunday.

The Black and Gold currently sit seventh in the Western Conference, while the Timbers are one point better off in fifth.


Match preview

Los Angeles FC manager Bob Bradley on May 9, 2021 © Reuters

Danny Musovski scored an 81st-minute winner as LAFC beat Austin 2-1 on Wednesday, allowing them to move into a playoff spot in the process.

Bob Bradley's side have recovered from an eight-match winless streak in July and August and now appear to be peaking at just the right time as the final 10 fixtures of the regular season approach.

Only Real Salt Lake and Sporting Kansas City have scored more goals in the Western Conference than LAFC (37), but just 11 of those have come away from home.

Moreover, before beating Austin last time out, the Black and Gold had lost four consecutive matches on the road.

Portland Timbers forward Felipe Mora (9) celebrates his goal with forward Dairon Asprilla (27) against the Minnesota United in the first half at Allianz Field on July 24, 2021© Reuters

Portland Timbers' 2-2 draw with Colorado Rapids on Wednesday brought to an end their own three-match winning streak.

The Oregon-based outfit twice trailed against Rapids, but Sebastian Blanco scored a 91st-minute equaliser to ensure they collected a point.

Giovanni Savarese's side have found the back of the net in each of their last 14 matches, but at the other end of the pitch they have conceded the most goals in the Western Conference (41).

These two sides will face each other again in California just 10 days after they meet at Providence Park, with the Timbers hosting Real Salt Lake and LAFC travelling to San Jose Earthquakes in between.

Felipe Mora scored a 93rd-minute winner as the Timbers beat LAFC 2-1 in July, which was their first victory over the Black and Gold in their last five meetings.

Portland Timbers Major League Soccer form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Portland Timbers head coach Giovanni Savarese directs his team against Real Salt Lake during the first half at Providence Park on August 7, 2021© Reuters

Bill Tuiloma was sent off in Portland Timbers' draw with Colorado Rapids on Wednesday and is likely to be replaced by Jose Van Rankin at right-back.

George Fochive will be pushing for a recall after dropping to the bench in midweek, in what could be Giovanni Savarese's only other change.

Striker Felipe Mora has found the back of the net eight times in his last 13 appearances and will continue to lead the line for the Timbers.

Bob Bradley could name an unchanged LAFC side as he looks to continue the team's winning run.

The Black and Gold are missing several first team players, including captain Carlos Vela who suffered a hamstring injury in August.

Summer signing Cristian Arango has stepped up in Vela's absence, scoring five goals in his last four games.

Portland Timbers possible starting lineup:
Clark; Van Rankin, Mabiala, Zuparic, Bravo; Fochive, D. Chara; Y. Chara, Blanco, Asprilla; Mora

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Romero; Fall, Murillo, Farfan; Moon-Hwan, Ginella, Crisostomo, Edwards; Cifuentes; Arango, Rodriguez


SM words green background

We say: Portland Timbers 2-2 Los Angeles FC

With both teams in good form, this should be a tight and entertaining game in Oregon. Goals seem almost a certainty given the two sides' recent records, but we cannot separate them so think it will end level.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 46.77%. A win for Portland Timbers had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.74%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Portland Timbers win was 2-1 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Portland vs Los Angeles

Portland Timbers
45.5%
Draw
30.3%
Los Angeles FC
24.2%
33
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Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami105322215718
2New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls9441139416
3FC CincinnatiCincinnati9432108215
4Columbus Crew9351129314
5Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia7340149513
6Toronto9414912-313
7Atlanta UnitedAtlanta8323139411
8New York City FCNY City932499011
9Charlotte FCCharlotte FC9324911-211
10CF MontrealMontreal83231216-411
11DC United92431214-210
12Orlando City82331015-59
13Chicago Fire92341118-79
14Nashville SCNashville8143916-77
15New England RevolutionNew England8116514-94

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy95312115618
2Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver8512179816
3Real Salt LakeSalt Lake9432158715
4Colorado RapidsColorado94321513215
5Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd8422139414
6Houston DynamoHouston841398113
7Los Angeles FCLos Angeles93331514112
8St Louis City92611514112
9Austin FCAustin93331213-112
10Sporting Kansas CityKansas92521716111
11Portland TimbersPortland92431818010
12Seattle SoundersSeattle81349906
13Dallas8125712-55
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes91081324-113


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