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Palmeiras
Brasileiro | Gameweek 5
Jun 20, 2021 at 3pm UK
Estadio Palestra Italia
America Mineiro

Palmeiras
2 - 1
America Mineiro

Willian (39', 90+5')
de Paula (22'), Renan (26'), Jailson (71')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Geovane (38')
Ramon (67'), Sabino (79'), Geovane (84')

Preview: Palmeiras vs. America Mineiro - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Palmeiras and America Mineiro, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Palmeiras have the chance to continue their ascent up the table when they take on winless America Mineiro at Allianz Parque on Sunday.

The White-Green have recovered from a losing start to move into sixth place, while their opponents are 19th in the 20-team division after picking up one point from a possible 12.


Match preview

Palmeiras coach Abel Ferreira reacts on May 23, 2021© Reuters

Since losing 1-0 to Flamengo in their opening game of the season, Palmeiras have defeated Chapecoense and Juventude either side of a 1-1 draw against Corinthians.

That positive run leaves Abel Ferreira's side three points off early pacesetters Fortaleza, though 11th-placed Sport Recife are just three points behind in the tight division.

Palmeiras produced their best display of the campaign last time out in seeing off Juventude 3-0 through goals from Deyverson and Breno Lopes following William Matheus's own goal.

The reigning Copa Libertadores and Copa do Brasil holders will now be looking to continue building momentum in the league ahead of games with America Mineiro, Bragantino and Bahia.

America face a daunting task attempting to take any points off Palmeiras, having lost three and drawn one since earning promotion to the top flight.

However, the Rabbit did pick up their solitary point to date last time out in a goalless draw against Cuiaba.

That stalemate came on the back of losses to Athletico Paranaense, Corinthians and Flamengo without scoring, making it four without a goal for Lisca's men.

If they are to have any hope of staying in the division, then that lack of cutting edge has to change, but Palmeiras are not exactly known for shipping goals.

America failed to find the net in their most recent encounter with the White-Green, going down 1-0 in last December's cup match following a 1-1 draw in the first leg.

Indeed, the Rabbit are winless against Palmeiras in their last nine encounters since a 1-0 victory in June 2013.

Palmeiras Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W

Palmeiras form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • W

America Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

America Mineiro form (all competitions):
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Patrick de Paula in action for Palmeiras on December 2, 2020© Reuters

Veron, Danilo and Patrick de Paula are all expected to miss out for Palmeiras through injury, while Wesley is suspended.

Ferreira will also have to make do without Gustavo Gomez, Weverton and Vina, who are each away on Copa America duty.

Given the nature of their win against Juventude, plus the number of absentees, the hosts may go with the same XI used last time out.

As for Mineiro, Matheus Cavichioli has been ruled out for the foreseeable future with coronavirus.

Marcelo Toscano, Luiz Fernando, Ze Ricardo, Marlon and Airton are all carrying injuries and are all unlikely to play any part this weekend.

Despite failing to score in his 215 minutes on the field this term, Rodolfo is favourite to get the nod up top for the visitors.

Palmeiras possible starting lineup:
Jailson; Rocha, Renan, Luan, Luis; Scarpa, Veiga, Melo; Menino, Adriano, Willian

America Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Jori; Diego, Eduardo, Anderson, Paulo; Juninho, Gustavinho, Ale; Nazario, Rodolfo, Ademir


SM words green background

We say: Palmeiras 3-0 America Mineiro

America Mineiro picked up their first point of the season in midweek, but they are still without a goal, and that is unlikely to change against Palmeiras.

The hosts are looking up the division and we can see them matching the three goals they put past Juventude last time out.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 59.61%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for America Mineiro had a probability of 16.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.01%), while for an America Mineiro win it was 0-1 (6.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Palmeiras vs America Mineiro

Palmeiras
85.2%
Draw
11.1%
America Mineiro
3.7%
27
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Patrick de Paula in action for Palmeiras on December 2, 2020
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1BragantinoBragantino32105327
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4Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR32015236
5Gremio32014226
6InternacionalInternacional32013216
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8FortalezaFortaleza21103214
9Fluminense31115504
10Bahia31115504
11PalmeirasPalmeiras31111104
12JuventudeJuventude311146-24
13Cruzeiro311146-24
14Sao Paulo31025413
15Vasco da GamaVasco310245-13
16CriciumaCriciuma20202202
17Vitoria201123-11
18Corinthians301203-31
19Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO300316-50
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