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[monks data]
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 at 12.30pm UK
The Den
Swansea logo

Millwall
0 - 3
Swansea

FT(HT: 0-1)
Ayew (45+1'), Lowe (76', 85')

Preview: Millwall vs. Swansea City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Two sides in completely contrasting form face off at The Den on Saturday afternoon as top-six chasing Millwall host fourth-placed Swansea City.

Millwall have won three games in a row to climb up the table, while Swansea are looking over their shoulder after losing four in a row.


Match preview

Millwall's Shaun Hutchinson celebrates after scoring their first goal on March 13, 2021© Reuters

Millwall's slim playoff hopes looked to be dead and buried after losing 3-2 to Queens Park Rangers three weeks ago, a result that left them 12 points off the top six.

Since then, though, they have overcome Middlesbrough, Rotherham United and Stoke City, moving them to within eight points off sixth-placed Reading - a far from insurmountable gap.

Murray Wallace and Mason Bennett were on target either side of Jacob Brown's temporary equaliser to earn the Lions' latest three-point haul at Stoke on Monday.

Gary Rowett's side are now seeking a fourth league win in a row for the first time since March 2018, knowing that anything less will surely kill off their promotion hopes.

Swansea's bad patch of form has come at the worst possible time, with the Welsh side failing to put any points on the board from their last four games.

Swansea City manager Steve Cooper pictured in February 2021© Reuters

That is as many defeats as they had suffered in their previous 24 league matches, winning 15 of those to earn widespread plaudits.

Furthermore, they have failed to find the back of the net in those losses to Bournemouth, Cardiff City, Birmingham City and Preston North End.

The Swans' luck appears to have run out, having conceded added-time goals in their last two matches, the latest being a Matt Grimes own goal in the loss to Preston.

Steve Cooper's men were good value for a top-two spot last month, but now they will be happy to simply finish in the playoffs.

The gap on seventh-placed Bournemouth is four points, and the Cherries also have a game in hand to play, so it is vital City bring an end to their terrible run this weekend.

Millwall Championship form:
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Swansea City Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L



Team News

Millwall's Kenneth Zohore in action with Sheffield Wednesday's Liam Palmer on February 6, 2021© Reuters

Millwall received a blow earlier this week as Rowett confirmed that Shaun Hutchinson will miss the rest of the season with an injury sustained against Rotherham.

Alex Pearce slotted into the back three against Stoke and will retain his place on Saturday, while Maikel Kieftenbeld will be eyeing up a return in central midfield.

Kenneth Zohore and Bennett started up top last time out, but Jon Dadi Bodvarsson is an option to come into the side this weekend.

As for Swansea, Cooper has to work out how to get more out of his misfiring forwards.

Wayne Routledge and Yan Dhanda were second-half substitutes in the defeat to Preston and may be considered for a starting spot here.

Aston Villa loanee Conor Hourihane scored four goals in his first seven appearances for the Swans, but he has since netted just one in his last nine.

The Republic of Ireland international will still likely start at The Den, though, with Grimes and Jay Fulton the favourites to get the nod alongside him.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; M.Wallace, Pearce, Cooper; McNamara, Evans, J.Wallace, Mitchell, Malone; Bennett, Bodvarsson

Swansea City possible starting lineup:
Woodman; Roberts, Cabango, Guehi, Manning; Fulton, Grimes, Hourihane; Routledge, Ayew, Lowe


SM words green background

We say: Millwall 1-1 Swansea City

Going by form alone, this is a game that in-form Millwall will feel confident of winning against out-of-form Swansea.

It is surely just a matter of time before the Swans click back into gear, however, and they are without defeat in four trips to The Den, so we are backing them to claim a point.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.74% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.64%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Millwall vs Swansea

Millwall
59.0%
Draw
23.0%
Swansea City
18.0%
61
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Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ipswich TownIpswich432611685533289
2Leicester CityLeicester422841079384188
3Leeds UnitedLeeds43269876344287
4Southampton42259884543084
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4320121166422472
6Norwich CityNorwich432181476601671
7Hull City421811136254865
8Coventry CityCoventry4217121366521463
9Middlesbrough43189166156563
10Preston North EndPreston43189165660-463
11Cardiff CityCardiff43185204860-1259
12Bristol City431610175046458
13Sunderland43168195250256
14Swansea CitySwansea431411185362-953
15Watford431216155958152
16Millwall431311194255-1350
17Blackburn RoversBlackburn431310205771-1449
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth431212195866-848
19Queens Park RangersQPR431211204057-1747
20Stoke CityStoke431211204160-1947
21Birmingham CityBirmingham43129224864-1645
22Huddersfield TownHuddersfield43917174770-2344
23Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds43128233667-3144
RRotherham UnitedRotherham43411283285-5323


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