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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Willem II win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Groningen had a probability of 31.59% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Willem II win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Groningen win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Willem II would win this match.
Result | ||
Willem II | Draw | Groningen |
42.82% | 25.6% | 31.59% |
Both teams to score 54.48% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.63% | 49.37% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.58% | 71.42% |
Willem II Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.05% | 22.95% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.27% | 56.73% |
Groningen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.7% | 29.3% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.73% | 65.26% |
Score Analysis |
Willem II | Draw | Groningen |
1-0 @ 9.9% 2-1 @ 8.94% 2-0 @ 7.28% 3-1 @ 4.39% 3-0 @ 3.57% 3-2 @ 2.69% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.32% 4-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.12% Total : 42.82% | 1-1 @ 12.14% 0-0 @ 6.72% 2-2 @ 5.49% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.25% 1-2 @ 7.46% 0-2 @ 5.07% 1-3 @ 3.05% 2-3 @ 2.25% 0-3 @ 2.07% 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |