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Watford logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Vicarage Road
Stoke logo

Watford
1 - 3
Stoke

Fletcher (61')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (25'), Clucas (80'), Tymon (85')
Batth (90+1')

The Match

Match Report

The Potters are in the fourth round of the Carabao Cup for a third season in succession.

Team News

The hosts are set to make a host of changes.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Watford and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 40.06%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawStoke City
40.06%26.56%33.39%
Both teams to score 51.95%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.11%52.89%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.5%74.5%
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.08%25.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.08%60.93%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.14%29.86%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.05%65.96%
Score Analysis
    Watford 40.05%
    Stoke City 33.39%
    Draw 26.56%
WatfordDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 8.53%
2-0 @ 7.06%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.32%
4-1 @ 1.3%
4-0 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.05%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.74%
2-2 @ 5.15%
3-3 @ 0.93%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.56%
0-1 @ 9.36%
1-2 @ 7.63%
0-2 @ 5.65%
1-3 @ 3.08%
0-3 @ 2.28%
2-3 @ 2.08%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.39%

How you voted: Watford vs Stoke

Watford
75.0%
Draw
13.8%
Stoke City
11.2%
116
Head to Head
Jan 22, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 26
Stoke
1-2
Watford
Fletcher (83')
Collins (81')
Deeney (64' pen.), Sarr (68')
Sierralta (18'), Femenia (34')
Nov 4, 2020 7pm
Gameweek 10
Watford
3-2
Stoke
Cleverley (28'), Pedro (61' pen.), Sarr (90+2')
Chalobah (56'), Capoue (90+4')
Fletcher (2'), Powell (81')
Gunn (61'), Obi Mikel (79')
Jan 31, 2018 8pm
Stoke
0-0
Watford
Adam (21'), Bauer (35'), Biram Diouf (52'), Pieters (59')
Kabasele (18'), Holebas (47'), Doucoure (90')
Oct 28, 2017 3pm
Watford
0-1
Stoke

Femenia (57'), Richarlison (76'), Doucoure (87'), Deeney (90')
Fletcher (16')
Choupo-Moting (62'), Shaqiri (85'), Biram Diouf (87'), Allen (90')
Jan 3, 2017 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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