Championship | Gameweek 10
Nov 4, 2020 at 7pm UK
Vicarage Road
Watford3 - 2Stoke
The Match
Match Report
Ismaila Sarr had the last word to lift the Hornets into the play-off positions.
Preview
Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship fixture between Watford and Stoke City, including team news and predicted lineups.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 38.19%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 33.98% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.05%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Stoke City |
| 38.19% | 27.84% | 33.98% |
| Both teams to score 48.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
