Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 62.62%. A draw had a probability of 21.1% and a win for Valencia had a probability of 16.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Valencia win it was 1-0 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Valencia | Draw | Real Madrid |
16.32% | 21.06% | 62.62% |
Both teams to score 51.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.83% | 45.17% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.48% | 67.52% |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.2% | 40.8% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.63% | 77.37% |
Real Madrid Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.17% | 13.83% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
58.82% | 41.18% |
Score Analysis |
Valencia | Draw | Real Madrid |
1-0 @ 5.06% 2-1 @ 4.49% 2-0 @ 2.27% 3-1 @ 1.34% 3-2 @ 1.33% Other @ 1.84% Total : 16.32% | 1-1 @ 10% 0-0 @ 5.64% 2-2 @ 4.44% Other @ 0.98% Total : 21.06% | 0-1 @ 11.16% 0-2 @ 11.04% 1-2 @ 9.9% 0-3 @ 7.28% 1-3 @ 6.53% 0-4 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 3.23% 2-3 @ 2.93% 2-4 @ 1.45% 0-5 @ 1.43% 1-5 @ 1.28% Other @ 2.79% Total : 62.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |