Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leyton Orient win with a probability of 42.09%. A win for Stevenage had a probability of 30.17% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leyton Orient win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.45%) and 0-2 (8.02%). The likeliest Stevenage win was 1-0 (10.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Leyton Orient would win this match.
