Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rostov win with a probability of 64.18%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Akron Tolyatti had a probability of 15.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rostov win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for an Akron Tolyatti win it was 0-1 (4.78%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.