Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.56%. A win for Villarreal had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.74%) and 2-0 (8.15%). The likeliest Villarreal win was 0-1 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
43.56% | 27.04% | 29.4% |
Both teams to score 48.99% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.03% | 55.97% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.93% | 77.07% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% | 25.49% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.66% | 60.34% |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.76% | 34.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.06% | 70.94% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Villarreal |
1-0 @ 11.93% 2-1 @ 8.74% 2-0 @ 8.15% 3-1 @ 3.98% 3-0 @ 3.72% 3-2 @ 2.13% 4-1 @ 1.36% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.56% | 1-1 @ 12.78% 0-0 @ 8.73% 2-2 @ 4.68% Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.03% | 0-1 @ 9.36% 1-2 @ 6.85% 0-2 @ 5.01% 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.67% Other @ 2.27% Total : 29.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 32 | 25 | 6 | 1 | 70 | 22 | 48 | 81 |
2 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
3 | GironaGirona | 32 | 21 | 5 | 6 | 67 | 40 | 27 | 68 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 32 | 19 | 4 | 9 | 59 | 38 | 21 | 61 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 32 | 16 | 10 | 6 | 52 | 30 | 22 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 32 | 13 | 12 | 7 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 32 | 12 | 12 | 8 | 40 | 38 | 2 | 48 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 51 | 55 | -4 | 42 |
10 | Getafe | 32 | 9 | 13 | 10 | 38 | 44 | -6 | 40 |
11 | Osasuna | 32 | 11 | 6 | 15 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 32 | 9 | 10 | 13 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 37 |
13 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 32 | 10 | 7 | 15 | 30 | 39 | -9 | 37 |
14 | AlavesAlaves | 32 | 9 | 8 | 15 | 28 | 38 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 32 | 7 | 13 | 12 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 34 |
16 | Celta Vigo | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 37 | 47 | -10 | 31 |
17 | Mallorca | 32 | 6 | 13 | 13 | 26 | 38 | -12 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 25 |
19 | Granada | 32 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 33 | 61 | -28 | 18 |
20 | Almeria | 32 | 1 | 11 | 20 | 31 | 64 | -33 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |