Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Raith Rovers win with a probability of 56.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Greenock Morton had a probability of 21.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Raith Rovers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.96%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.27%), while for a Greenock Morton win it was 1-2 (5.68%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Raith Rovers would win this match.
Result | ||
Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
56.48% | 22.05% | 21.47% |
Both teams to score 57.1% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.33% | 41.67% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.93% | 64.07% |
Raith Rovers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.41% | 14.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.33% | 42.67% |
Greenock Morton Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.85% | 33.14% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.25% | 69.74% |
Score Analysis |
Raith Rovers | Draw | Greenock Morton |
2-1 @ 9.89% 1-0 @ 9.31% 2-0 @ 8.96% 3-1 @ 6.35% 3-0 @ 5.75% 3-2 @ 3.51% 4-1 @ 3.06% 4-0 @ 2.77% 4-2 @ 1.69% 5-1 @ 1.18% 5-0 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.97% Total : 56.48% | 1-1 @ 10.27% 2-2 @ 5.46% 0-0 @ 4.84% 3-3 @ 1.29% Other @ 0.19% Total : 22.05% | 1-2 @ 5.68% 0-1 @ 5.34% 0-2 @ 2.95% 1-3 @ 2.09% 2-3 @ 2.01% 0-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.32% Total : 21.47% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Dundee UnitedDundee Utd | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 69 | 22 | 47 | 71 |
2 | Raith Rovers | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 65 |
3 | Partick ThistlePartick | 34 | 14 | 12 | 8 | 62 | 50 | 12 | 54 |
4 | AirdrieoniansAirdrieonians | 34 | 15 | 6 | 13 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
5 | Greenock MortonMorton | 34 | 12 | 8 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 44 |
6 | Dunfermline AthleticDunfermline | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 43 |
7 | Ayr UnitedAyr | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 58 | -8 | 42 |
8 | Inverness Caledonian ThistleInverness | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 37 | 38 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Queen's ParkQueen's Park | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 43 | 56 | -13 | 37 |
10 | Arbroath | 34 | 6 | 5 | 23 | 35 | 79 | -44 | 23 |
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