Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 78.89%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Maritimo had a probability of 6.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.62%) and 3-0 (12.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.82%), while for a Maritimo win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Maritimo |
78.89% | 14.62% | 6.49% |
Both teams to score 37.97% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.51% | 43.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.11% | 65.89% |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91% | 9% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.34% | 30.66% |
Maritimo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
41.73% | 58.27% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
10.26% | 89.74% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Maritimo |
2-0 @ 15.2% 1-0 @ 12.62% 3-0 @ 12.2% 2-1 @ 8.21% 4-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 6.59% 4-1 @ 3.97% 5-0 @ 3.54% 5-1 @ 1.91% 3-2 @ 1.78% 6-0 @ 1.42% 4-2 @ 1.07% Other @ 2.99% Total : 78.87% | 1-1 @ 6.82% 0-0 @ 5.24% 2-2 @ 2.22% Other @ 0.35% Total : 14.62% | 0-1 @ 2.83% 1-2 @ 1.84% Other @ 1.82% Total : 6.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 30 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 87 | 27 | 60 | 80 |
2 | Benfica | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3 | 68 | 24 | 44 | 73 |
3 | Porto | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 55 | 24 | 31 | 62 |
4 | Braga | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 63 | 41 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 30 | 17 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 32 | 13 | 57 |
6 | AroucaArouca | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 40 | 11 | 44 |
7 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 30 | 12 | 7 | 11 | 30 | 34 | -4 | 43 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | 33 | 38 | -5 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 43 | -13 | 32 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 30 | 5 | 16 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 31 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 37 | 48 | -11 | 31 |
13 | BoavistaBoavista | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 56 | -21 | 30 |
14 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 45 | 52 | -7 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 30 | 7 | 7 | 16 | 34 | 64 | -30 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | 30 | 62 | -32 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 30 | 4 | 9 | 17 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 21 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |