Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15.9% and a win for Newcastle United had a probability of 10.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.39%) and 2-1 (9.28%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.43%), while for a Newcastle United win it was 1-2 (3.06%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.
Result | ||
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
73.89% | 15.86% | 10.25% |
Both teams to score 51.45% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.43% | 35.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.38% | 57.62% |
Manchester United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91.76% | 8.24% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
71.2% | 28.8% |
Newcastle United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.07% | 43.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.93% | 80.07% |
Score Analysis |
Manchester United | Draw | Newcastle United |
2-0 @ 11.27% 3-0 @ 9.39% 2-1 @ 9.28% 1-0 @ 9.04% 3-1 @ 7.72% 4-0 @ 5.86% 4-1 @ 4.82% 3-2 @ 3.18% 5-0 @ 2.93% 5-1 @ 2.41% 4-2 @ 1.98% 6-0 @ 1.22% 6-1 @ 1% 5-2 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.81% Total : 73.88% | 1-1 @ 7.43% 2-2 @ 3.82% 0-0 @ 3.62% Other @ 0.99% Total : 15.86% | 1-2 @ 3.06% 0-1 @ 2.98% 0-2 @ 1.22% 2-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.25% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Arsenal | 34 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 82 | 26 | 56 | 77 |
2 | Manchester CityMan City | 33 | 23 | 7 | 3 | 80 | 32 | 48 | 76 |
3 | Liverpool | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 75 | 34 | 41 | 74 |
4 | Aston Villa | 34 | 20 | 6 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 32 | 18 | 6 | 8 | 65 | 49 | 16 | 60 |
6 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 33 | 16 | 5 | 12 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 53 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 33 | 15 | 5 | 13 | 69 | 54 | 15 | 50 |
8 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 63 | -9 | 48 |
9 | Chelsea | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 61 | 57 | 4 | 47 |
10 | Bournemouth | 34 | 12 | 9 | 13 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 45 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 33 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 44 |
12 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 43 |
13 | Fulham | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 50 | 54 | -4 | 42 |
14 | Crystal Palace | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 39 |
15 | Brentford | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 52 | 59 | -7 | 35 |
16 | Everton | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 36 | 48 | -12 | 33 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 42 | 60 | -18 | 26 |
18 | Luton TownLuton | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 47 | 75 | -28 | 25 |
19 | Burnley | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 37 | 69 | -32 | 23 |
20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 34 | 3 | 7 | 24 | 33 | 92 | -59 | 16 |
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