Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 47.49%. A win for Lyon had a probability of 28.83% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.5%) and 0-2 (7.3%). The likeliest Lyon win was 2-1 (7.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
Result | ||
Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
28.83% | 23.68% | 47.49% |
Both teams to score 59.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.8% | 42.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.39% | 64.61% |
Lyon Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.44% | 27.56% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.92% | 63.08% |
Paris Saint-Germain Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.03% | 17.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.18% | 48.82% |
Score Analysis |
Lyon | Draw | Paris Saint-Germain |
2-1 @ 7.06% 1-0 @ 6.38% 2-0 @ 4.11% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-2 @ 2.6% 3-0 @ 1.77% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.89% Total : 28.83% | 1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 6.06% 0-0 @ 4.95% 3-3 @ 1.49% Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.4% 0-1 @ 8.5% 0-2 @ 7.3% 1-3 @ 5.38% 0-3 @ 4.18% 2-3 @ 3.47% 1-4 @ 2.31% 0-4 @ 1.79% 2-4 @ 1.49% Other @ 3.68% Total : 47.49% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 30 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 73 | 26 | 47 | 69 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | 56 | 38 | 18 | 58 |
3 | Brest | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 44 | 29 | 15 | 53 |
4 | Lille | 30 | 14 | 10 | 6 | 43 | 26 | 17 | 52 |
5 | Nice | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 48 |
6 | Lens | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 46 |
7 | Rennes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 42 |
8 | Marseille | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
9 | Lyon | 30 | 12 | 5 | 13 | 39 | 49 | -10 | 41 |
10 | Reims | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 40 |
11 | Toulouse | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 36 | 39 | -3 | 37 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 36 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 33 | 41 | -8 | 36 |
14 | NantesNantes | 30 | 9 | 4 | 17 | 28 | 48 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Metz | 30 | 8 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 29 |
16 | Le HavreLe Havre | 30 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 28 |
17 | Lorient | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 26 |
18 | Clermont | 30 | 4 | 10 | 16 | 21 | 49 | -28 | 22 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |