Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 43.45%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Lazio win was 2-1 (7.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
32.08% | 24.47% | 43.45% |
Both teams to score 58.51% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.79% | 44.21% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.41% | 66.59% |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.56% | 26.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.39% | 61.61% |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% | 20.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.07% | 52.93% |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Atalanta BC |
2-1 @ 7.6% 1-0 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.79% 3-1 @ 3.37% 3-2 @ 2.67% 3-0 @ 2.12% 4-1 @ 1.12% Other @ 3.21% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 2-2 @ 6.03% 0-0 @ 5.41% 3-3 @ 1.41% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.46% | 1-2 @ 9.06% 0-1 @ 8.58% 0-2 @ 6.81% 1-3 @ 4.79% 0-3 @ 3.6% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 1.9% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.83% Total : 43.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
7 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
8 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
14 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |