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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heerenveen win with a probability of 48.14%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 27.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heerenveen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 0-1 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Heerenveen in this match.
Result | ||
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
48.14% | 24.62% | 27.24% |
Both teams to score 55.03% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.56% | 47.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.35% | 69.66% |
Heerenveen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.24% | 19.76% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.19% | 51.81% |
Fortuna Sittard Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.59% | 31.42% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.21% | 67.79% |
Score Analysis |
Heerenveen | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
1-0 @ 10.06% 2-1 @ 9.45% 2-0 @ 8.16% 3-1 @ 5.11% 3-0 @ 4.41% 3-2 @ 2.96% 4-1 @ 2.07% 4-0 @ 1.79% 4-2 @ 1.2% Other @ 2.94% Total : 48.14% | 1-1 @ 11.65% 0-0 @ 6.21% 2-2 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.62% | 0-1 @ 7.19% 1-2 @ 6.75% 0-2 @ 4.16% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 2.11% 0-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 95 | 17 | 78 | 81 |
2 | Feyenoord | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 77 | 23 | 54 | 72 |
3 | FC Twente | 30 | 18 | 6 | 6 | 56 | 30 | 26 | 60 |
4 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 59 | 35 | 24 | 55 |
5 | Ajax | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 48 |
6 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 12 | 11 | 7 | 59 | 44 | 15 | 47 |
7 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 2 | 45 |
8 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | 44 | 39 | 5 | 42 |
9 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 45 | 43 | 2 | 40 |
10 | Heerenveen | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 50 | 56 | -6 | 36 |
11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 34 | 52 | -18 | 35 |
12 | Almere CityAlmere City | 30 | 7 | 12 | 11 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 33 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 32 |
14 | Heracles | 30 | 9 | 5 | 16 | 40 | 62 | -22 | 32 |
15 | SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior | 30 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 44 | 64 | -20 | 25 |
16 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 24 |
17 | FC VolendamVolendam | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 74 | -44 | 19 |
R | Vitesse | 30 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 22 | 68 | -46 | -1 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |