Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 36.29%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 36.25% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 0-1 (10.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.
