Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 44.4%. A win for DC United had a probability of 30.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.09%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest DC United win was 1-0 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.
Result | ||
DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
30.08% | 25.52% | 44.4% |
Both teams to score 54.02% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.37% | 49.63% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.35% | 71.65% |
DC United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.54% | 30.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.33% | 66.67% |
Atlanta United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.69% | 22.31% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.22% | 55.78% |
Score Analysis |
DC United | Draw | Atlanta United |
1-0 @ 8.08% 2-1 @ 7.2% 2-0 @ 4.8% 3-1 @ 2.85% 3-2 @ 2.14% 3-0 @ 1.9% Other @ 3.1% Total : 30.08% | 1-1 @ 12.11% 0-0 @ 6.8% 2-2 @ 5.4% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.51% | 0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 9.09% 0-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.55% 0-3 @ 3.82% 2-3 @ 2.7% 1-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.43% 2-4 @ 1.01% Other @ 2.25% Total : 44.4% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 22 | 15 | 7 | 18 |
2 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 16 |
3 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 15 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 9 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 12 | 9 | 3 | 14 |
5 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 13 |
6 | Toronto | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 13 |
7 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 11 |
8 | New York City FCNY City | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 11 |
9 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 11 | -2 | 11 |
10 | CF MontrealMontreal | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 11 |
11 | DC United | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 14 | -2 | 10 |
12 | Orlando City | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10 | 15 | -5 | 9 |
13 | Chicago Fire | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 11 | 18 | -7 | 9 |
14 | Nashville SCNashville | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 16 | -7 | 7 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -9 | 4 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 9 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 21 | 15 | 6 | 18 |
2 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 16 |
3 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 8 | 7 | 15 |
4 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 13 | 2 | 15 |
5 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 14 |
6 | Houston DynamoHouston | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 8 | 1 | 13 |
7 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
8 | St Louis City | 9 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 15 | 14 | 1 | 12 |
9 | Austin FCAustin | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 12 | 13 | -1 | 12 |
10 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 16 | 1 | 11 |
11 | Portland TimbersPortland | 9 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 10 |
12 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
13 | Dallas | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 5 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 9 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 3 |