Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 48.6%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 27.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.5%) and 2-0 (8.03%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (6.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Cagliari | Draw | Genoa |
48.6% | 24.23% | 27.17% |
Both teams to score 56.26% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.2% | 45.8% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.88% | 68.11% |
Cagliari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.07% | 18.93% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.57% | 50.43% |
Genoa Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.39% | 30.61% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.16% | 66.84% |
Score Analysis |
Cagliari | Draw | Genoa |
1-0 @ 9.64% 2-1 @ 9.5% 2-0 @ 8.03% 3-1 @ 5.27% 3-0 @ 4.45% 3-2 @ 3.12% 4-1 @ 2.19% 4-0 @ 1.85% 4-2 @ 1.3% Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.6% | 1-1 @ 11.41% 0-0 @ 5.79% 2-2 @ 5.63% 3-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.86% 1-2 @ 6.76% 0-2 @ 4.06% 1-3 @ 2.67% 2-3 @ 2.22% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3% Total : 27.17% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 77 | 17 | 60 | 83 |
2 | AC Milan | 32 | 21 | 6 | 5 | 63 | 37 | 26 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 32 | 18 | 9 | 5 | 45 | 24 | 21 | 63 |
4 | Bologna | 32 | 16 | 11 | 5 | 45 | 25 | 20 | 59 |
5 | Roma | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 56 | 35 | 21 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 57 | 36 | 21 | 51 |
7 | Napoli | 32 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 50 | 40 | 10 | 49 |
8 | Lazio | 32 | 15 | 4 | 13 | 41 | 35 | 6 | 49 |
9 | Torino | 32 | 11 | 12 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 45 |
10 | Fiorentina | 31 | 12 | 8 | 11 | 43 | 36 | 7 | 44 |
11 | Monza | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 34 | 41 | -7 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 35 | 39 | -4 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 27 | 48 | -21 | 32 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 34 | 54 | -20 | 31 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 32 | 6 | 10 | 16 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Udinese | 31 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 30 | 47 | -17 | 28 |
17 | Empoli | 32 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 25 | 48 | -23 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 32 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 27 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 32 | 6 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 32 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 26 | 68 | -42 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |