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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 49.59%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 23.35%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.09%) and 2-1 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.53%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (8.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bournemouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Bournemouth | Draw | Birmingham City |
49.59% | 27.06% | 23.35% |
Both teams to score 44.39% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.4% | 59.6% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.07% | 79.93% |
Bournemouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.81% | 24.19% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.48% | 58.53% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.56% | 41.44% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.05% | 77.95% |
Score Analysis |
Bournemouth | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 14.22% 2-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 8.89% 3-0 @ 4.78% 3-1 @ 4.21% 3-2 @ 1.85% 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-1 @ 1.49% Other @ 2.35% Total : 49.58% | 1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 3.92% Other @ 0.59% Total : 27.06% | 0-1 @ 8.83% 1-2 @ 5.52% 0-2 @ 3.89% 1-3 @ 1.62% 2-3 @ 1.15% 0-3 @ 1.14% Other @ 1.19% Total : 23.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leicester CityLeicester | 44 | 30 | 4 | 10 | 86 | 39 | 47 | 94 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 44 | 27 | 9 | 8 | 80 | 37 | 43 | 90 |
3 | Ipswich TownIpswich | 43 | 26 | 11 | 6 | 85 | 53 | 32 | 89 |
4 | Southampton | 44 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 85 | 61 | 24 | 84 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 44 | 20 | 12 | 12 | 67 | 44 | 23 | 72 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 44 | 21 | 9 | 14 | 77 | 61 | 16 | 72 |
7 | Hull City | 43 | 18 | 12 | 13 | 62 | 54 | 8 | 66 |
8 | Coventry CityCoventry | 42 | 17 | 12 | 13 | 66 | 52 | 14 | 63 |
9 | Middlesbrough | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 64 | 60 | 4 | 63 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 44 | 18 | 9 | 17 | 56 | 61 | -5 | 63 |
11 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 44 | 19 | 5 | 20 | 50 | 61 | -11 | 62 |
12 | Bristol City | 44 | 16 | 11 | 17 | 51 | 47 | 4 | 59 |
13 | Sunderland | 44 | 16 | 8 | 20 | 52 | 51 | 1 | 56 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 44 | 15 | 11 | 18 | 57 | 62 | -5 | 56 |
15 | Watford | 44 | 12 | 17 | 15 | 59 | 58 | 1 | 53 |
16 | Millwall | 44 | 14 | 11 | 19 | 43 | 55 | -12 | 53 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 44 | 60 | -16 | 50 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 44 | 13 | 11 | 20 | 41 | 57 | -16 | 50 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 44 | 13 | 10 | 21 | 58 | 74 | -16 | 49 |
20 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 44 | 12 | 12 | 20 | 58 | 69 | -11 | 48 |
21 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 44 | 13 | 8 | 23 | 39 | 68 | -29 | 47 |
22 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 44 | 12 | 10 | 22 | 48 | 64 | -16 | 46 |
23 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 44 | 9 | 17 | 18 | 47 | 74 | -27 | 44 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 44 | 4 | 12 | 28 | 32 | 85 | -53 | 24 |
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