Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 60.04%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Banfield had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.57%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.99%), while for a Banfield win it was 0-1 (6.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.