Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 65.57%. A draw had a probability of 18.3% and a win for Crotone had a probability of 16.18%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.63%) and 3-1 (7.62%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.04%), while for a Crotone win it was 1-2 (4.46%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Crotone |
65.57% | 18.25% | 16.18% |
Both teams to score 60.87% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.81% | 32.2% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.21% | 53.79% |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.78% | 9.22% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.8% | 31.2% |
Crotone Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.06% | 32.94% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.48% | 69.52% |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan | Draw | Crotone |
2-1 @ 9.58% 2-0 @ 8.63% 3-1 @ 7.62% 1-0 @ 7.24% 3-0 @ 6.86% 4-1 @ 4.54% 3-2 @ 4.23% 4-0 @ 4.09% 4-2 @ 2.52% 5-1 @ 2.16% 5-0 @ 1.95% 5-2 @ 1.2% 4-3 @ 0.93% Other @ 4.02% Total : 65.57% | 1-1 @ 8.04% 2-2 @ 5.32% 0-0 @ 3.04% 3-3 @ 1.57% Other @ 0.29% Total : 18.25% | 1-2 @ 4.46% 0-1 @ 3.37% 2-3 @ 1.97% 0-2 @ 1.87% 1-3 @ 1.65% Other @ 2.84% Total : 16.18% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter Milan | 33 | 27 | 5 | 1 | 79 | 18 | 61 | 86 |
2 | AC Milan | 33 | 21 | 6 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 69 |
3 | Juventus | 33 | 18 | 10 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 64 |
4 | Bologna | 33 | 17 | 11 | 5 | 48 | 26 | 22 | 62 |
5 | Roma | 32 | 16 | 7 | 9 | 57 | 38 | 19 | 55 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 32 | 16 | 6 | 10 | 59 | 37 | 22 | 54 |
7 | Lazio | 33 | 16 | 4 | 13 | 42 | 35 | 7 | 52 |
8 | Napoli | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 49 |
9 | Fiorentina | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 47 |
10 | Torino | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 31 | 29 | 2 | 46 |
11 | Monza | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 35 | 43 | -8 | 43 |
12 | Genoa | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 35 | 40 | -5 | 39 |
13 | Lecce | 33 | 8 | 11 | 14 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 35 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 36 | 56 | -20 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Empoli | 33 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 26 | 48 | -22 | 31 |
17 | Udinese | 32 | 4 | 16 | 12 | 30 | 48 | -18 | 28 |
18 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 33 | 6 | 10 | 17 | 40 | 63 | -23 | 28 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 33 | 6 | 8 | 19 | 39 | 65 | -26 | 26 |
20 | Salernitana | 33 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 26 | 70 | -44 | 15 |
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