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Crystal Palace logo
Premier League | Gameweek 3
Sep 26, 2020 at 3pm UK
Selhurst Park
Everton logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 2
Everton

Kouyate (26')
Zaha (23'), McArthur (45+3'), Ward (59')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Calvert-Lewin (10'), Richarlison (40' pen.)
Richarlison (60')

Preview: Crystal Palace vs. Everton - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between in-form duo Crystal Palace and Everton, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

At least one perfect Premier League record must go on Saturday when Crystal Palace host Everton at Selhurst Park.

The pair are two of only five clubs to have won both of their opening games in 2020-21, and they come into this weekend's match after particularly encouraging results last time out.


Match preview

Crystal Palace winger Wilfried Zaha celebrates with teammates after scoring against Manchester United on September 19, 2020© Reuters

Crystal Palace fans would have had every right to come into the new season with a feeling of trepidation; they ended 2019-20 in dreadful form and began the campaign with a difficult run of fixtures - hosting a Southampton side that boasted a brilliant away record last term before travelling to Old Trafford.

Six points from those two games is beyond what even the most ardent supporter would have expected, but last weekend's 3-1 win at Manchester United continued their perfect start to the campaign.

Wilfried Zaha was the star of the show against his former club as he scored in back-to-back league games for the first time since November 2019, and his apparent return to his best form helped Palace to register more than two goals for the first time in 40 top-flight outings.

A second-round EFL Cup exit on penalties to Bournemouth means that it has not quite been a faultless start overall, but Roy Hodgson's side will still go into this match against Everton full of confidence and knowing that victory would send them temporarily top of the table at this very early stage of the season.

The Toffees briefly sat at the summit following their 5-2 victory over West Bromwich Albion last weekend and, while they have since been nudged back down to second, it has still been a very encouraging start to the campaign for them as well.

Everton's Richarlison celebrates scoring against Fleetwood Town in the EFL Cup on September 23, 2020© Reuters

James Rodriguez has fitted in immediately, Everton's other summer signings have also made bright starts and Dominic Calvert-Lewin leads the Premier League scoring charts following his hat-trick against the Baggies.

All in all, there is every reason for Carlo Ancelotti to be optimistic about the season ahead, with the Merseysiders having won their opening two league games for the first time since 2012-13, when they finished sixth.

It is not just in the Premier League that Everton are developing a winning habit, though; victories over Salford City and Fleetwood Town by three-goal margins - the latter of which saw Everton record a 5-2 triumph for the second time in four days - have seen the Toffees progress to the EFL Cup fourth round, where they will face West Ham United.

A couple of Jordan Pickford mistakes in that win over Fleetwood did raise concerns whether the England number one could be something of a liability in Everton's bid to finish in the top six, but Ancelotti was quick to brush off such accusations.

Pickford made two vital saves on Everton's last visit to Selhurst Park as the two sides played out a goalless draw on the opening day of the 2019-20 season, and early signs from Palace suggest that he could be busier still this time around.

However, Everton have not lost away to Palace in any competition since 1994 and are unbeaten in this fixture home or away in the last 11 editions.

Crystal Palace Premier League form: WW
Crystal Palace form (all competitions): WLW

Everton Premier League form: WW
Everton form (all competitions): WWWW


Team News

James Rodriguez celebrates scoring for Everton on September 19, 2020© Reuters

Both sides are still suffering from defensive shortages ahead of this match, although Palace's troubles could be slightly eased if Jairo Riedewald proves his fitness in time.

Gary Cahill, James Tomkins, Patrick van Aanholt and Nathan Ferguson remain sidelined, though, while Connor Wickham is also out.

Former Liverpool striker Christian Benteke could be in contention as he works his way back towards full fitness, although Hodgson is unlikely to tinker too much with a winning formula, meaning that Michy Batshuayi could once again start among the subs.

The same is true for Ancelotti as the first-teamers who missed out at Fleetwood - including summer arrivals Rodriguez, Abdoulaye Doucoure and Allan - are expected to return.

Lucas Digne was forced to play at centre-back in that match but will revert to left-back for this one, with Yerry Mina returning alongside Michael Keane at the heart of the defence.

Those are Everton's only two fit centre-backs as things stand, with Mason Holgate and Jarrad Branthwaite both currently out through injury.

Jonas Lossl, Cenk Tosun and Jean-Philippe Gbamin also remain in the treatment room.

Alex Iwobi and Bernard will be hopeful that their goalscoring performances in midweek have boosted their chances of starting on Saturday, but they are expected to return to the bench.

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Kouyate, Dann, Mitchell; Townsend, McArthur, McCarthy, Schlupp; Zaha, Ayew

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Coleman, Mina, Keane, Digne; Doucoure, Allan, Gomes; Rodriguez, Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison


SM words green background

We say: Crystal Palace 1-2 Everton

This is a tricky contest to call; Everton lost 11 times away from home last season but look like a much better outfit this time around and have already ended their London hoodoo this term by winning at Tottenham Hotspur on the opening day.

It is a game both teams will fancy their chances of winning, but man for man Everton have the superior squad and so we are backing them to just about edge it and continue their perfect start.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Everton win with a probability of 43.32%. A win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 30.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Everton win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Crystal Palace win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Everton would win this match.


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Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on July 9, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool34228475344174
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd33165125150153
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle331551369541550
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Bournemouth34129134960-1145
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves34127154654-843
13Fulham34126165054-442
14Crystal Palace34109154456-1239
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton34118153648-1233
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3437243392-5916


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