MX23RW : Friday, April 19 13:36:52| >> :600:158300:158300:
[monks data]
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 9, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Commerzbank-Arena
Mainz logo

Frankfurt
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Hrustic (86')
Kostic (30'), Hrustic (49')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Onisiwo (11')

Preview: Eintracht Frankfurt vs. Mainz 05 - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Mainz 05, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Eintracht Frankfurt take on Mainz 05 in the Bundesliga on Sunday, with the visitors looking to extend their unbeaten run to nine matches as they attempt to move further clear of the relegation zone.

Frankfurt, meanwhile, may need to win in order to remain in the Champions League qualification places.


Match preview

Andre Silva in action for Eintracht Frankfurt on April 10, 2021© Reuters

Frankfurt will be casting a watchful eye on how Borussia Dortmund fare against title-chasing RB Leipzig on Saturday, with Edin Terzic's side only one point behind them heading into the weekend.

After beating Dortmund a little over a month ago, Frankfurt looked like shoo-ins to join Bayern Munich, Leipzig and Wolfsburg as Germany's representatives in next season's Champions League.

However, four successive wins has seen Dortmund move to within one point of Frankfurt and two points of Wolfsburg, with Adi Hutter's side losing to Bayer Leverkusen last time out.

Andre Silva's 25th league goal of the season ultimately proved nothing more than a consolation one, with Leon Bailey, Lucas Alario and Kerem Demirbay condemning Frankfurt to a second defeat in three matches.

Should Dortmund avoid defeat against Leipzig, Frankfurt will head into Sunday's meeting against in-form Mainz outside of the Champions League places, so Hutter will be desperate to increase his chances of completing the job ahead of his summer switch to Borussia Monchengladbach by beating Bo Svensson's side on Sunday.

Mainz 05 coach Bo Svensson reacts on April 24, 2021© Reuters

It will certainly not be an easy task for the hosts, though, with Mainz currently on an eight-match unbeaten run as they look to mathematically secure their Bundesliga survival for a 12th successive season.

Svensson has performed miracles since taking over as manager in January, guiding the club he spent seven years as a player at between 2007 and 2014 to 29 points from his 17 matches in charge.

Extrapolated across an entire season, that would put Mainz only three points behind their forthcoming opponents Frankfurt, and therefore right in the mix for a Champions League qualification spot, too.

However, having picked up only six points prior to the winter break, even a fine record like Svensson's has not proven enough to ensure Mainz's safety yet. Mainz missed an excellent chance to do so against Hertha Berlin, who had not played for over three weeks due to a COVID-19 outbreak, on Monday, drawing 1-1 in an even affair.

Pal Dardai's side have since moved five points behind Mainz after beating Freiburg 3-0 on Thursday, with Arminia Bielefeld - who are also five points behind Mainz - dropping into the relegation playoff position as a result.

FC Koln are a point further back in the first automatic relegation playoff position, so a win against Frankfurt on Sunday would almost certainly seal Mainz's survival.

Eintracht Frankfurt Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Mainz 05 Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D



Team News

Eintracht Frankfurt coach Adi Hutter pictured on February 20, 2021© Reuters

Frankfurt will be without the suspended Evan N'Dicka after the defender picked up his 10th league caution of the season during the defeat to Leverkusen.

Martin Hinteregger should replace him in the back three, with Makoto Hasebe also pushing for a start.

Given their recent defeats, Hutter may be tempted to restore Amin Younes to the side in place of Luka Jovic.

Ragnar Ache and Jabez Makanda will be out for the rest of the season due to injury.

Mainz, meanwhile, will also be without a key defender in the shape of Stefan Bell after he picked up his fifth booking of the season against Hertha.

Alexander Hack is likely to replace him in Svensson's back three, with the likes of Robin Quaison and Robert Glatzel pushing for a start in attack.

Paul Nebel and Luca Kilian will miss the rest of the season due to injury.

Eintracht Frankfurt possible starting lineup:
Trapp; Tuta, Hinteregger, Hasebe; Durm, Sow, Rode, Kostic; Younes, Kamada; Silva

Mainz 05 possible starting lineup:
Zentner; St Juste, Hack, Niakhate; Da Costa, Kohr, Barreiro, Boetius, Mwene; Burkardt, Quaison


SM words green background

We say: Eintracht Frankfurt 2-1 Mainz 05

We expect a closely fought encounter between two sides who have performed considerably above expectations since the turn of the year.

Mainz showed signs of running out of steam against Hertha on Monday, though, so Frankfurt's attacking quality could get them over the line in the end as they look to take a huge step towards qualifying for next season's Champions League.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:446420:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10157:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 55.18%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 23.74% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.31%) and 1-0 (7.04%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-2 (6.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Mainz 05

Eintracht Frankfurt
79.7%
Draw
5.4%
Mainz 05
14.9%
74
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Real Betis' Claudio Bravo in action against Real Madrid in La Liga on April 24, 2021
Read Next:
European roundup: Real Madrid miss chance to go top, Bellingham sees red
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29254074195579
2Bayern MunichBayern29203682364663
3Stuttgart29203667343363
4RB Leipzig29175767333456
5Borussia DortmundDortmund29168557342356
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29101274339442
7Augsburg29109104746139
8Freiburg29116124152-1139
9Hoffenheim29106134957-836
10Heidenheim29810114250-834
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29710125056-631
12Werder Bremen2987143649-1331
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2985162545-2029
14Wolfsburg2977153450-1628
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum29512123459-2527
16Mainz 05Mainz29511133047-1726
17FC Koln29410152351-2822
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2928192872-4414


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!