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Copa America header

Copa America
Peru national football team
Copa America | Quarter-Finals
Jul 2, 2021 at 10pm UK
 
Paraguay national football team

Peru
3 - 3
Paraguay

Lapadula (21', 40'), Yotun (80')
Santamaria (15'), Cueva (60'), Carrillo (75')
Carrillo (85')
FT
(aet)
Gomez (11'), Alonso (54'), Avalos (90')
Gomez (42'), Villasanti (49'), Espinola (87')
Gomez (45+3')
Peru win 4-3 on penalties

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Copa America clash between Peru and Paraguay, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole takes an in-depth look at how Paraguay could line up for Friday's Copa America clash with Peru.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paraguay win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Peru had a probability of 30.09% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paraguay win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.67%). The likeliest Peru win was 1-0 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%).

Result
PeruDrawParaguay
30.09%25.6%44.3%
Both teams to score 53.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01%49.99%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03%71.97%
Peru Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.37%30.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.12%66.87%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.49%22.51%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.93%56.07%
Score Analysis
    Peru 30.09%
    Paraguay 44.3%
    Draw 25.6%
PeruDrawParaguay
1-0 @ 8.16%
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 4.83%
3-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.12%
3-0 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 30.09%
1-1 @ 12.16%
0-0 @ 6.89%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 10.28%
1-2 @ 9.07%
0-2 @ 7.67%
1-3 @ 4.51%
0-3 @ 3.81%
2-3 @ 2.67%
1-4 @ 1.68%
0-4 @ 1.42%
2-4 @ 1%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.3%

How you voted: Peru vs Paraguay

Peru
69.2%
Paraguay
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2020 11.30pm
Group Stage
Paraguay
2-2
Peru
Romero (66', 81')
Cubas (35'), Espinola Gimenez (43'), Villasanti (84')
Carrillo (52', 85')
Zambrano (18')
Mar 23, 2019 12am
International Friendlies
Peru
1-0
Paraguay
Cueva (4')
Tapia (51'), Advincula (64')
Jul 4, 2015 12.30am
Third-Place Match
Peru
2-0
Paraguay
> Match Report
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