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Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 34
Jul 4, 2020 at 4pm UK
Municipal de Balaidos
Real Betis logo

Celta Vigo
1 - 1
Real Betis

Nolito (22')
Vazquez (62'), Aspas (64'), Araujo (78'), Yokuslu (82'), Bradaric (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Feddal (79')
Moreno (21'), Mandi (55'), Tello (72'), Canales (75'), Mandi (90+5')

Preview: Celta Vigo vs. Real Betis - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Real Betis, including team news and predicted lineups.

Both Celta Vigo and Real Betis will be looking to return to winning ways when they continue their respective 2019-20 La Liga seasons with a clash on Saturday afternoon.

Celta will enter this weekend's match off the back of a 5-1 loss at Mallorca, while Betis suffered a 2-0 home defeat to Villarreal on Wednesday as their disappointing form continued.


Match preview

Celta Vigo players celebrate Iago Aspas's late goal against Barcelona on June 27, 2020© Reuters

Celta had been in impressive form ahead of Tuesday's clash with Mallorca, beating Alaves and Real Sociedad, in addition to drawing with Barcelona, in their three matches before.

The Sky Blues were brought crashing back down to earth by Mallorca, though, as they suffered a 5-1 defeat, which once again dragged them into the relegation mix at a key stage of the season.

As it stands, Oscar Garcia's side are 17th in the table, five points ahead of 18th-placed Mallorca, meaning that another poor result this weekend could leave them vulnerable.

Celta have not actually operated outside of Spain's top flight since the 2011-12 campaign, but there is certainly work to be done in the final weeks if they are to retain their spot at this level for at least one more season.

Real Betis players complain to the referee during their match against Sevilla on June 11, 2020© Reuters

Betis, meanwhile, have been in disappointing form since returning to action on June 11, losing four of their six matches, picking up just one victory in the process.

The Seville club will enter this weekend's match off the back of successive defeats to Levante and Villarreal, which has left them in 13th position in the table, nine points off the top half.

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a disappointing season for the Green and Whites, particularly considering the talent that they can call upon, especially in the final third of the field.

Betis's away form this season has been extremely poor, winning just one of their 16 matches, suffering nine defeats in the process, which is the third-worst record in the division.

Alexis Trujillo's team have actually won their last two La Liga matches against Celta, though, including a 1-0 success in the corresponding game during the 2018-19 campaign.

Celta Vigo La Liga form: LDWWDL

Real Betis La Liga form: LDLWLL


Team News

Celta Vigo's Iago Aspas celebrates scoring their second goal from the penalty spot with Hugo Mallo © Reuters

Celta will be without the services of Denis Suarez until the end of July with a hamstring problem, meaning that Fedor Smolov is likely to return to the starting side for this match.

David Junca and Sergio Alvarez will definitely miss out through injury, but Fran Beltran and Nolito should both overcome knocks for the hosts.

Nolito is potentially battling Santi Mina for a spot in the final third alongside Iago Aspas and Smolov, although Beltran could start on the bench with Rafinha continuing in midfield.

As for Betis, William Carvalho is available once again after missing the clash against Villarreal through suspension, but Nabil Fekir is now banned due to his red card against the Yellow Submarine.

There are expected to be changes from the side that lost on Wednesday night, with Carles Alena, Cristian Tello and Joaquin all in contention to make the starting XI.

Celta Vigo possible starting lineup:
Blanco; Vazquez, Murillo, Araujo, Olaza; Rafinha, Bradaric, Yokuslu; Nolito, Smolov, Aspas

Real Betis possible starting lineup:
Joel; Sidnei, Bartra, Mandi; Pedraza, Carvalho, Alena, Emerson; Joaquin, Iglesias, Tello


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Celta Vigo 1-1 Real Betis

Four of the last nine La Liga meetings between these two sides have finished level, and we are finding it difficult to separate them on Saturday afternoon. A draw would not be the worst result in the world for either team, and it is a match that both managers will be keen not to lose.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 41.56%. A win for Real Betis had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Real Betis win was 0-1 (8.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.


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Celta Vigo players celebrate Iago Aspas's late goal against Barcelona on June 27, 2020
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14AlavesAlaves3298152838-1035
15Rayo Vallecano32713122739-1234
16Celta Vigo32710153747-1031
17Mallorca32613132638-1231
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