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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 42
Jul 8, 2020 at 6pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Hull logo

Bristol City
2 - 1
Hull City

Diedhiou (41'), Paterson (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Eaves (61')
Honeyman (22'), de Wijs (90+3'), Wilks (90+4')

Preview: Bristol City vs. Hull City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Hull City, including team news and predicted lineups.

Bristol City are back in Championship action for the first time since sacking boss Lee Johnson as they take on strugglers Hull City at Ashton Gate on Wednesday evening.

The Robins took action after a winless run of nine matches that leaves them nine points off the playoffs, while Hull are also in need of a win to climb clear of the dropzone.


Match preview

Bristol City manager Lee Johnson pictured on June 20, 2020© Reuters

Saturday's late 1-0 defeat to Severnside rivals Cardiff City proved to be the final straw for Bristol City's board as they parted company with the division's longest-serving boss.

That loss was City's fourth in a row since returning to action last month and extended a winless run that spans all the way back to early February.

That most recent victory - 3-2 against Derby County - moved the Robins to within three points of the automatic promotion spots, with Johnson's reputation at a high.

However, they have collected two points from a possible 27 since then and are now nine points adrift of sixth-placed Cardiff with only 15 points left to play for.

Assistant boss Dean Holden will take charge of this clash with Hull and will be eager to steer Bristol City clear of a fifth straight loss, something last achieved in January 2017.

Mallik Wilks celebrates equalising for Hull City on February 8, 2020© Reuters

While the hosts' season is as good as over following the defeat to Cardiff, Hull are battling for every last point on offer in their bid to dodge the drop into League One.

The Tigers beat Middlesbrough 2-1 last week, but they followed that up with a 4-2 loss at West Bromwich Albion on Sunday and are one point and one place above the dotted line.

The win over Boro was Hull's only three-point haul in 15 attempts since New Year's Day - a run that has seen them go from promotion challengers to relegation candidates.

Grant McCann's side still have fellow strugglers Wigan Athletic and Luton Town to face in their final five fixtures, but they will be targeting at least a point on Wednesday.

However, they have won only one of their last 22 away league matches against Bristol City, losing 15 of those, and are winless in five against the Robins overall.

Bristol City's Championship form: DDLLLL

Hull City's Championship form: LLLDWL


Team News

Ashley Williams during a Wales training session on May 21, 2018© Reuters

Ashley Williams was sent off in the recent loss to Nottingham Forest and serves the second of a four-match ban on Wednesday, while Niki Maenpaa and Pedro Pereira are injured.

Holden may be tempted to rotate for his first - and perhaps only - game in temporary charge, which could see the likes of Jack Hunt, Han-Noah Massengo and Jamie Paterson return.

Striker Nahki Wells has scored 16 goals in the Championship this season, one short of his best return in the Championship when at Huddersfield Town in 2015-16.

As for Hull, Liverpool loanee Herbie Kane picked up an injury shortly after scoring against Middlesbrough last week and is a confirmed absentee for this match.

Callum Elder also missed the West Brom game and remains doubtful to face the Robins, so Leonardo da Silva is expected to start at left-back.

On the back of the loss at The Hawthorns, James Scott and Daniel Batty are two others pushing for recalls for the visitors.

Bristol City possible starting lineup:
Bentley; Hunt, Kalas, Baker, Dasilva; Paterson, Smith, Massengo, O'Dowda; Diedhiou, Wells

Hull City possible starting lineup:
Long; Pennington, Wijs, Burke, Lopes; Wilks, Batty, Stewart, Scott; Toral; Magennis


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Bristol City 1-0 Hull City

Bristol City are embarking on a new era after parting company with long-serving boss Johnson. We are tipping them to pick up a much-needed victory on Wednesday against a Hull side at serious risk of dropping down a division.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 42.63%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.19% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.


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