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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 31
May 5, 2021 at 7pm UK
Estadio Municipal
Pacos de Ferreira logo

Braga
1 - 1
Pacos de Ferreira

Galeno (78' pen.)
Ruiz (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pedro (26')
Amaral (33'), Pedro (39'), Silva (74')

Preview: Braga vs. Pacos de Ferreira - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Pacos de Ferreira, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The sides in fourth and fifth place in the Primeira Liga table do battle on Wednesday, as Braga welcome Pacos de Ferreira to the Braga Municipal Stadium.

The hosts come into this game on the back of consecutive league defeats, while their opponents broke a five-game winless run with a 1-0 victory over Belenenses last time out.


Match preview

Braga head coach Carlos Carvalhal pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Braga suffered a disappointing defeat last time out, when they travelled to take on strugglers Maritimo last Thursday.

The game remained goalless for 75 minutes until Diederrick Joel Tagueu netted the winning goal for the hosts, despite Braga dominating the majority of the encounter.

That followed a narrow 1-0 defeat at home to Sporting Lisbon, which did not seem too disappointing for Carlos Carvalhal's side on the surface, but a deeper look suggests otherwise.

Os Arcebispos had a man advantage for the majority of the game as Sporting centre-back Goncalo Inacio was sent off in the 18th minute, but Carvalhal's men failed to take advantage of their dominance and the hosts would go on to snatch a winner in the final 10 minutes through Matheus Nunes.

As a result of their recent dip in form, Braga have fallen well behind the top three in the Primeira Liga, now sitting eight points behind third-placed Benfica with four games left to play.

That means Carvalhal's men will feel that they have to win all of their remaining four games if they are to stand a chance of breaking into the top three, starting with a return to winning ways against Pacos de Ferreira on Wednesday.

Pacos de Ferreira head coach Pepa pictured in June 2020© Reuters

The visitors will come into this game with renewed confidence, having picked up their first victory in six games last time out against Belenenses.

The game looked set to finish goalless until Pacos de Ferreira won a penalty in the 85th minute, which Joao Pedro converted to seal the victory for his side in dramatic fashion.

That broke a run of five games without a win for Os Castores, having picked up just one point in that time while netting just one goal.

That poor run all but ended their hopes of a finish in the top four of the Portuguese top flight, as they now sit 10 points behind Wednesday's opponents with 12 points left to play for.

They will still be hopeful of putting back-to-back victories together though, as they look to keep their slim hopes alive with a win over their rivals for that spot.

Braga Primeira Liga form:
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L

Pacos de Ferreira Primeira Liga form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W



Team News

Braga's Francisco Moura celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in November 2020© Reuters

Braga will come into this game without midfielder Ali Musrati, who will serve a suspension after he was shown his fifth yellow card of the season in the recent defeat to Maritimo.

In his absence, Fransergio will come back into the starting side after he was reduced to a substitute appearance last time out.

Meanwhile, young winger Iuri Medeiros will remain out of action through injury alongside centre-back David Carmo and full-back Francisco Moura.

Carvalhal has struggled to find a consistent forward line recently, with the likes of Andraz Sporar, Abel Ruiz, Lucas Piazon and Nicolas Gaitan all going through relative dry patches in front of goal.

Pacos de Ferreira winger Helder Ferreira will miss this game through suspension after he was shown a late red card in the victory over Belenenses.

They will also be without right-back Fernando Fonseca, who will serve a suspension after he picked up his fifth league yellow card of the season in that game.

In his absence, Ze Uilton may have to slot into the back four, with Joao Pedro potentially coming into the front three.

Braga possible starting lineup:
Matheus; Tormena, Rodrigues, Sequeira; Esgaio, Castro, Fransergio, Galeno; Gaitan, Sporar, Horta

Pacos de Ferreira possible starting lineup:
Jordi; Uilton, Marcelo, Gonzaga, Rebocho; Carlos, Eustaquio, Costa; Pedro, Tanque, Singh


SM words green background

We say: Braga 1-1 Pacos de Ferreira

Neither side come into this game in their best form, but we see Pacos de Ferreira's positive result last time out giving them the confidence to take a commendable point from the fourth-placed outfit on Wednesday.

Braga have hit their most inconsistent run of the season in the last month, and we would not be surprised to see them drop points again on Wednesday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 63.39%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Pacos de Ferreira had a probability of 15.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10%), while for a Pacos de Ferreira win it was 0-1 (5.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Braga vs Pacos de Ferreira

Braga
73.8%
Draw
23.1%
Pacos de Ferreira
3.1%
65
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Sporting Lisbon's Pedro Goncalves celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates in January 2021
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon30262287276080
2Benfica30234368244473
3Porto30195655243162
4Braga30195663412262
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes30176745321357
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11Rio AveRio Ave3051693238-631
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13BoavistaBoavista3079143556-2130
14Estoril PraiaEstoril3086164552-730
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3077163464-3028
17ChavesChaves3058173062-3223
18Vizela3049172962-3321


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