Bologna have the chance to finish in the top half of Serie A as they welcome lowly Torino to Stadio Renato Dall'Ara on the final day of the season.
The Rossoblu were thrashed 4-0 by Fiorentina last time out but can still match or better last season's 10th-place finish, while 14th is the best that Torino can hope for this weekend.
Match preview
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Bologna's form post-lockdown has been underwhelming to say the least, having won three, drawn three and lost five of their 11 matches.
The most recent of those defeats was that crushing four-goal reverse at the hands of Fiorentina on Wednesday, with Federico Chiesa helping himself to a hat-trick in that one.
It is now three defeats in four matches for Sinisa Mihajlovic, who will still be targeting a top-half finish in his first full campaign in charge of the club.
Bologna enter the final round of fixtures level on points with Parma and Fiorentina in 11th and 10th respectively, meaning that they need other results to go their way for that to happen.
The Rossoblu's 3-2 win against Lecce in their most recent home match ended a seven-game wait for victory at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. Indeed, only four teams have collected fewer home points than Mihajlovic's side this season.
However, Torino are in the bottom three of the division in terms of away results, winning just four times on their travels all campaign.
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In fact, Il Toro enter this match winless in their last nine away league matches, losing eight of those on the spin prior to a 1-1 draw with SPAL last weekend.
They followed that up with a 3-2 loss at home to Roma and remain 16th in the division, four points above the relegation zone.
Alex Berenguer gave them an early lead in that match, but they conceded three goals before replying - a familiar theme, with Brescia (34) the only team to have lost more points than Torino (27) from winning positions.
Dropping down a division is now out of the question for Moreno Longo and his side, but the head coach will still be disappointed with the campaign as a whole.
Concluding the elongated season with a first victory in five matches would at least add some gloss to 2019-20, but Torino are winless in their last three trips to Bologna.
Bologna's Serie A form: DDLLWL
Torino's Serie A form: LWLDDL
Team News
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Ladislav Krejci, Takehiro Tomiyasu and Mattia Bani are all confirmed absentees for Bologna through injury.
Federico Santander and Andreas Skov Olsen are in line for recalls on Sunday after sitting out the defeat to Fiorentina.
Striker Musa Barrow has scored in each of his last four league appearances at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara - the last Bologna player to find the net in five consecutive home games was Giuseppe Signori (six in 1999).
Torino must make do without suspended duo Lyanco and Soualiho Meite, while Daniele Baselli is sidelined with a long-term knee injury.
Tomas Rincon is favourite to replace Meite in central midfield alongside Sasa Lukic.
Up top, Andrea Belotti seems certain to start and is looking to net against Bologna for the first time in five attempts.
Bologna possible starting lineup:
Skorupski; Mbaye, Danilo, Denswil, Dijks; Svanberg, Medel; Olsen, Soriano, Sansone; Santander
Torino possible starting lineup:
Sirigu; Djidji, Nkoulou, Bremer; Aina, Rincon, Lukic, Ansaldi; Verdi; Belotti, Zaza
We say: Bologna 1-0 Torino
Bologna have lost three of their last four games and have a poor home record, yet Torino have been even worse on their travels and have yet to win away in seven attempts under Longo, so we are backing a narrow victory for the Rossoblu.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 49.34%. A win for Torino had a probability of 26.8% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.98%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
