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Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 31
Jun 13, 2020 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Borussia Monchengladbach logo

Bayern
2 - 1
Borussia M'bach

Zirkzee (26'), Goretzka (86')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Pavard (37' og.)
Bensebaini (45'), Lainer (69')

Preview: Bayern Munich vs. Borussia Monchengladbach - predictions, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Monchengladbach, including team news and possible lineups.

Bayern Munich can wrap up the Bundesliga title this weekend as they prepare to welcome Borussia Monchengladbach to the Allianz Arena on Saturday evening.

Monchengladbach are holding on to the fourth and final Champions League spot and will be looking to recover from a disappointing defeat to Freiburg last time out.


Match preview

Bayern Munich players celebrate scoring against Eintracht Frankfurt in the DFB-Pokal semi-finals on June10, 2020© Reuters

Most football fans could have guessed that the Bundesliga crown would have been won and lost in Der Klassiker, and Bayern now look all but set to secure an eighth title on the bounce following another dominant campaign.

The Bavarian giants have opened up a seven-point gap between themselves and second-placed Borussia Dortmund, and Hansi Flick also witnessed his side advance to the DFB-Pokal final as Bayern overcame Eintracht Frankfurt in a hard-fought semi-final victory on Wednesday evening.

Flick's men will now prepare to take on Bayer Leverkusen in the final - a team which they swept aside comfortably last weekend in the league with a 4-2 victory at the BayArena.

That victory was Bayern's ninth on the bounce in the German top flight, and the champions-elect have now chalked up a staggering 90 goals during the 2019-20 campaign.

Dortmund can reduce the gap to four points with a victory against Fortuna Dusseldorf earlier in the day, but should Lucien Favre's side lose to the relegation candidates, Bayern will be crowned champions if they overcome Monchengladbach a few hours later.

Borussia Monchengladbach manager Marco Rose pictured in February 2020© Reuters

In contrast, Monchengladbach's dreams of Champions League qualification suffered a bitter blow as they succumbed to a 1-0 defeat against fellow European hopefuls Freiburg last Friday.

Nevertheless, Marco Rose's side remain fourth on goal difference ahead of Leverkusen - and they have Bayern to thank for that following Leverkusen's recent defeat to the runaway leaders.

Monchengladbach's form since the restart has been far from ideal, though, as they have only won one out of their last four in the Bundesliga, with that victory coming against Union Berlin two weeks ago.

As things stand, Rose's men are three points behind third-placed RB Leipzig, who will kick off the next round of fixtures against Hoffenheim on Friday.

Monchengladbach have the chance to move level on points with Leipzig this weekend, but Julian Nagelsmann's side boast a far superior goal difference as the fight for Champions League football hots up.

Bayern Munich Bundesliga form: WWWWWW
Bayern Munich form (all competitions): WWWWWW

Borussia Monchengladbach Bundesliga form: WWLDWL


Team News

Bayern Munich's Serge Gnabry celebrates scoring their second goal on February 25, 2020© Reuters

Serge Gnabry missed out Bayern's cup victory in midweek with a bruised back, and it remains to be seen whether the 24-year-old will be passed fit for the visit of Monchengladbach.

Bayern will already have to do without Robert Lewandowski and Thomas Muller, both of whom are suspended for this fixture having picked up bookings last weekend.

Gnabry's potential absence opens up a spot for Ivan Perisic to start out wide, while the young Joshua Zirkzee could be given a chance to lead the line for Bayern.

Monchengladbach have also suffered losses in the attacking department following Alassane Plea's red card in the defeat to Freiburg.

However, Breel Embolo is an option for Rose after the forward made his return to training, while Raffael has also overcome a minor ankle problem.

Denis Zakaria, Fabian Johnson and Tobias Strobl all remain on the treatment table for Monchengladbach.

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Pavard, Boateng, Alaba, Davies; Kimmich, Goretzka; Perisic, Thiago, Coman; Zirkzee

Borussia Monchengladbach possible starting lineup:
Sommer; Lainer, Ginter, Elvedi, Bensebaini; Hofmann, Neuhaus; Herrmann, Stindl, Thuram; Embolo


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Bayern Munich 2-1 Borussia Monchengladbach

Bayern's dominance of the Bundesliga scene is showing no signs of letting up anytime soon, but they will be without some of their big-hitters for the visit of Monchengladbach. We are still backing Flick's men to get the job done, but the away side are certainly not to be underestimated.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 70.79%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Borussia Monchengladbach had a probability of 12.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 3-0 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.67%), while for a Borussia Monchengladbach win it was 1-2 (3.62%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen29254074195579
2Bayern MunichBayern29203682364663
3Stuttgart29203667343363
4RB Leipzig29175767333456
5Borussia DortmundDortmund29168557342356
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt29101274339442
7Augsburg29109104746139
8Freiburg29116124152-1139
9Hoffenheim29106134957-836
10Heidenheim29810114250-834
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach29710125056-631
12Werder Bremen2987143649-1331
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin2985162545-2029
14Wolfsburg2977153450-1628
15VfL BochumVfL Bochum29512123459-2527
16Mainz 05Mainz29511133047-1726
17FC Koln29410152351-2822
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt2928192872-4414


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