MX23RW : Thursday, April 25 22:29:35| >> :60:2462:2462:
[monks data]
Leverkusen logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2022 at 6.30pm UK
BayArena
Leipzig logo

B. Leverkusen
0 - 1
RB Leipzig


Hincapie (48'), Andrich (72')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Szoboszlai (69')
Gvardiol (36')

Preview: Bayer Leverkusen vs. RB Leipzig - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and RB Leipzig, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

The standout clash in the Bundesliga this weekend takes place on Sunday evening, with third-placed Bayer Leverkusen hosting fourth-placed RB Leipzig at the BayArena.

The outcome of this intriguing tie could well play a huge part in deciding who qualifies for next season's Champions League, with the chasing pack looking to pounce on slip-ups from either of these sides.


Match preview

Bayer Leverkusen's Lucas Alario celebrates scoring their first goal on April 2, 2022© Reuters

Despite picking up seven points from the last nine on offer, Leverkusen head into this crucial game far from the exceptional form that they had showcased earlier in the campaign.

In those last three outings, Die Werkself narrowly saw off poor Wolfsburg and Hertha Berlin sides before being held to a goalless draw at VfL Bochum last weekend, with just one win and four defeats in a poor six-game run preceding this spell.

Gerardo Seoane's side were perhaps fortunate to come away with a point from the newly-promoted Bochum too, with plenty of nervy moments during an even encounter.

The season-ending injury to Florian Wirtz, and the ongoing injury problems for top goalscorer Patrik Schick, have been far from ideal, but Leverkusen have been nothing like the side that blew teams away in the opening weeks of the season and immediately after the winter break.

The hosts will have to be much improved if they are to pick up a positive result against their in-form opponents on Sunday, with a defeat meaning they would be leapfrogged in the table.

Fifth-placed Freiburg are also just four points behind at the time of writing, and with them playing a favourable fixture at home to Bochum on Saturday, Leverkusen's advantage in the race for the top four could be slashed down to just one point come the end of the weekend.

RB Leipzig's Konrad Laimer celebrates scoring their first goal with teammates on April 2, 2022© Reuters

Meanwhile, Leipzig seem to improve further and further under Domenico Tedesco as each week passes by, with a comfortable 3-0 win over top-four hopefuls Hoffenheim last weekend coming before their 2-0 win at Atalanta on Thursday evening.

That result saw Die Roten Bullen progress to the semi-finals of the Europa League courtesy of a 3-1 triumph on aggregate, and with a DFB-Pokal semi-final tie to come against Union Berlin on Wednesday, Sunday's visitors continue to fight on three fronts in the closing stages of the campaign.

Much of the positivity this season has come under Tedesco, who replaced Jesse Marsch back in December, with the club enduring a humiliating exit at the Champions League group stage and struggling down in midtable in the Bundesliga before his arrival.

The 36-year-old boasts a remarkable record of 14 wins and just two defeats from his 21 games in charge across all competitions up to this point, with one of those losses coming in a narrow setback at Bayern Munich.

As a result of the fantastic turnaround, Leipzig head into matchday 30 in fourth place in the Bundesliga table, just one point and one place behind their hosts, so as mentioned above, victory would take them above Leverkusen and further strengthen their hold on a top-four spot, something that seemed so unlikely just a few months ago.

The in-form Christopher Nkunku, who has been heavily linked with Manchester United in recent weeks, has been at the centre of Leipzig's success in all competitions.

The Frenchman has enjoyed a more advanced role under his new boss, with the 24-year-old netting a brace against Atalanta on Thursday to take his tally to 30 goals and 15 assists across 43 games this season, so he is likely to play a huge part in any success for Leipzig at the BayArena too.

Bayer Leverkusen Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Bayer Leverkusen form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

RB Leipzig Bundesliga form:
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

RB Leipzig form (all competitions):
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Bayer Leverkusen's Florian Wirtz pictured on September 16, 2021© Reuters

Although Wirtz continues to be a big miss for Leverkusen, Schick's return in the last two matches has been a welcome boost, despite failing to find the back of the net since returning so far.

However, another blow for the hosts is the expected absence of Jonathan Tah, who was forced off just 30 minutes into their draw last weekend because of a rib injury.

With Odilon Kossounou filling in at right-back for the absent Jeremie Frimpong, Piero Hincapie is likely to move inside from left-back, meaning Mitchel Bakker should come into the starting 11.

Backup goalkeeper Andrey Lunev remains sidelined, along with Timothy Fosu-Mensah, Amine Adli and Karim Bellarabi, whilst Sardar Azmoun is a doubt due to a cold.

As for the visitors, the huge quality in depth has allowed Tedesco to rotate his side well during their hectic fixture congestion since the turn of the year.

The significance of the occasion could mean that the greater experience of Lukas Klostermann may be called upon in place of Mohamed Simakan in defence.

Dominik Szoboszlai was one of the players rotated in midweek despite registering a goal and assist against Hoffenheim, but he could be recalled in place of Dani Olmo to start alongside Nkunku and Andre Silva in attack.

Amadou Haidara is the only absentee for Tedesco to contend with, so the visiting boss has plenty of options at his disposal should he decide to freshen up his side once more.

Bayer Leverkusen possible starting lineup:
Hradecky; Kossounou, Tapsoba, Hincapie, Bakker; Andrich, Aranguiz; Diaby, Demirbay, Paulinho; Schick

RB Leipzig possible starting lineup:
Gulacsi; Klostermann, Orban, Gvardiol; Mukiele, Laimer, Kampl, Angelino; Szoboszlai; Nkunku, Silva


SM words green background

We say: Bayer Leverkusen 1-3 RB Leipzig

This looks set to be an intriguing tie at the BayArena on Sunday, and it is one that could see two quality sides cancel each other out, or see a flurry of goals between two prolific attacking teams.

We are predicting the latter, with the visitors coming out on top after producing far more consistent displays over recent weeks and possessing the greater momentum thanks to some exceptional performances.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:curl



ID:483460:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect12618:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 41%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 37.01% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.15%) and 1-3 (5.03%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig

Bayer Leverkusen
23.2%
Draw
18.2%
RB Leipzig
58.6%
99
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Josko Gvardiol warms up for RB Leipzig in November 2021
Read Next:
Josko Gvardiol 'unlikely to join Tottenham this summer'
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Blanch
Nadal
1 0
6 6
Result
Cachin
Ofner
6 6
3 3
Result
Elahi Galan
Bautista-Agut
64 6 1
77 4 6
Result
Gasquet
Sonego
2 5
6 7
Result
Hanfmann
Mensik
4 63
6 77
Result
Koepfer
Carballes Baena
1 6 65
6 3 77
Result
Kovacevic
Medjedovic
6 5 4
3 7 6
Result
Lajovic
Monteiro
4 3
6 6
Result
Machac
Ruusuvuori
6 1 6
4 6 2
Result
Michelsen
Fonseca
6 0 2
4 6 6
Result
Nishioka
Auger-Aliassime
6 1 4
4 6 6
Result
O'Connell
Arnaldi
4 1
6 6
Result
Purcell
Giron
4 6 77
6 4 62
Result
Ramos-Vinolas
Kotov
3 4
6 6
Result
Tabilo
Cobolli
7 4 4
5 6 6
Result
Zhizhen
Kecmanovic
3 2
6 6
Result
Azarenka
Maria
6 6
3 1
Result
Eala
Cirstea
3 78 4
6 66 6
Result
Annie Fernandez
Potapova
7 6
5 3
Result
Gauff
Rus
6 6
0 0
Result
Keys
Camelia-Begu
77 78
63 66
Result
Podoroska
Navarro
2 1
6 6
Result
Karolina Schmiedlova
Jabeur
4 7 3
6 5 6
Result
Swiatek
Wang
6 6
1 4
Result
Sorribes Tormo
Svitolina
6 7
3 5
Result
Vekic
Sakkari
3 2
6 6
Result
Arango
Yastremska
6 5 4
0 7 6
Result
Osaka
Samsonova
2 6 5
6 4 7
Result
Ostapenko
Bouzas Maneiro
6 6
3 1
Result
Haddad Maia
Errani
6 6
3 2
Result
Lourdes Carle
Kudermetova
6 6
4 4
Result
Mertens
Stephens
6 3 1
3 6 6
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen30255075205580
2Bayern MunichBayern30213687375066
3Stuttgart30203768363263
4RB Leipzig30185769343559
5Borussia DortmundDortmund30169558352357
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt30111274640645
7Freiburg30117124253-1140
8Augsburg30109114849-139
9Hoffenheim30116135360-739
10Heidenheim30810124352-934
11Werder Bremen3097143850-1234
12Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach30710135360-731
13Wolfsburg3087153550-1531
14Union BerlinUnion Berlin3085172650-2429
15Mainz 05Mainz30512133148-1727
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum30512133460-2627
17FC Koln30410162353-3022
18SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt3038193072-4217


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!