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Attendance: 60,188
Arsenal logo
Premier League | Gameweek 26
Feb 16, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
 
Newcastle logo

4-0

Aubameyang (54'), Pepe (57'), Lacazette (90'), Ozil (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Preview: Arsenal vs. Newcastle United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole provides team news, predicted lineups and a full preview of Sunday's Premier League fixture between Arsenal and Newcastle United.

Arsenal play host to Newcastle United on Sunday afternoon with the two clubs locked on the same points in the Premier League table.

Despite sitting in 10th and 12th position respectively, the Gunners and the Magpies have put together lengthy unbeaten runs in 2020.


Match preview

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta applauds fans after the match on February 2, 2020© Reuters

Having lost just one of his opening nine matches as Arsenal manager, Mikel Arteta is well on his way to winning around the club's supporters at a time when the Gunners are striving to make headway up the standings.

However, the Spaniard will be aware that the optimism at the Emirates Stadium will soon disappear if his side do not start to convert draws into victories in the very near future.

As it stands, there is an acceptance that the former midfielder requires time to stamp his authority on a squad which have under-performed for a number of years, and confidence will be taken from how the North Londoners were able to twice come from behind with 10 men to earn a draw at Chelsea towards the end of last month.

Nevertheless, dropping points at Crystal Palace and Burnley, as well as squandering a lead against Sheffield United, means that Arteta cannot afford to sit too comfortably in the Emirates dugout just yet.

With three points being regarded as a necessity this weekend, Arteta knows that he must find a way to improve his misfiring attack, one which has scored just 13 goals in 12 matches.

Nicolas Pepe celebrates scoring for Arsenal on October 24, 2019© Reuters

Having remained as an unused substitute in the goalless draw with Burnley, Nicolas Pepe will be hoping for a recall as he bids to improve on his three goals and three assists in the Premier League this season.

There is also an argument for Eddie Nketiah to be provided with an opportunity down the middle, with Alexandre Lacazette having failed to score in his last eight starts.

At the other end of the pitch, Shkodran Mustafi received widespread praise for helping Arsenal to a clean sheet at Turf Moor, although the German knows he must prove himself at the Emirates Stadium to win over a fanbase which have become accustomed to feeling nervous by his presence at the back.

Steve Bruce has had to work hard in order to gain the support of a similarly demanding group of supporters, a target he is on his way to achieving with an eight-match unbeaten streak in all competitions.

The Magpies manager has spoken of placing a prolonged run in the FA Cup as one of his main ambitions for the rest of the campaign, a declaration which would have been warmly greeted by the St James' Park faithful.

Newcastle boss Steve Bruce on February 1, 2020© Reuters

That said, while Newcastle are only six points adrift of the Premier League's top six, there cannot be any complacency with the North-East outfit still just seven points above the relegation zone.

Bruce will feel that three more wins should achieve their minimum target for the campaign, but he will want more with his squad having shown against the top teams in the division that they are capable of being a long-term fixture in the top 10.

With a favourable schedule to come, that is still a possibility for this season, although Bruce may need some luck with injuries for that objective to feel realistic.

Despite the injuries to Andy Carroll and Dwight Gayle, Bruce will hope that Joelinton is now ready to fill the void having shown confidence when netting against Oxford United in the FA Cup for just his third goal of the season.

The Brazilian's poor form in front of goal has contributed to Newcastle possessing the joint-worst attack in the Premier League, and Bruce may be prepared to throw more caution to the wind in order to improve that statistic.

However, having found a successful formula against the better sides this season, a balance will have to be found in order to overcome opponents who will also view this contest as a chance to make headway up the table.

Arsenal Premier League form: LWDDDD
Arsenal (all competitions): WDDDWD

Newcastle United Premier League form: LLDWDD
Newcastle United form (all competitions): WWDDDW


Team News

Tottenham Hotspur's Danny Rose pictured in October 2019© Reuters

Having joined Newcastle on loan from Tottenham Hotspur, Danny Rose is expected to make his debut at left-back, while fellow new arrival Valentino Lazaro could line up on the opposite side.

Isaac Hayden and Nabil Bentaleb should feature in midfield, leaving Sean Longstaff and Matty Longstaff to occupy spots among the replacements.

Joelinton is expected to shake off a rib injury to lead the line, with Miguel Almiron and Allan Saint-Maximin being used on the flanks.

As for Arsenal, Arteta must decide whether to switch Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to a central position in order to accommodate Pepe in a wide role.

Mesut Ozil should retain his place in the number 10 position, while Sead Kolasinac may start at left-back in place of Bukayo Saka.

While Pablo Mari is closing in on his debut, he will be on the substitutes' bench at best, although Cedric Soares misses out with a knee injury.

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Leno; Bellerin, Mustafi, Luiz, Kolasinac; Torreira, Xhaka; Pepe, Ozil, Martinelli; Aubameyang

Newcastle United possible starting lineup:
Dubravka; Lazaro; Fernandes, Lascelles, Clark, Rose; Almiron, Hayden, Bentaleb, Saint-Maximin; Joelinton


Head To Head

Sunday's encounter will represent the 184th competitive meeting between the two clubs, with Arsenal claiming 78 wins in comparison to 67 victories for Newcastle.

Over the past decade, Newcastle have an abysmal record against Arsenal, registering just two triumphs and two draws from 18 matches.

The Gunners have also prevailed in 13 of the last 14 fixtures, with the sole win for the Magpies coming at St James' Park in April 2018.


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Arsenal 3-1 Newcastle United

While Newcastle could keep this match tight during the opening hour, we feel that Arsenal's class will eventually come through in the latter stages to record a win which will get them back in the hunt for the European places.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 61.2%. A draw had a probability of 20.9% and a win for had a probability of 17.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.96%) and 1-0 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.84%), while for a win it was 1-2 (4.89%).


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Newcastle boss Steve Bruce on January 11, 2020
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal34245582265677
2Liverpool33228375324374
3Manchester CityMan City32227376324473
4Aston Villa34206871502166
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs32186865491660
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle321551269521750
7Manchester UnitedMan Utd32155124748-150
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham34139125463-948
9Chelsea32138116157447
10Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton321111105250244
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves33127144653-743
12Fulham34126165054-442
13Bournemouth33119134860-1242
14Crystal Palace3399154256-1436
15Brentford3498175259-735
16Everton33108153448-1430
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3479184260-1826
18Luton TownLuton3467214775-2825
19Burnley3458213769-3223
20Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd3337233188-5716


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